1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910970500103321

Autore

Paiva Claudio

Titolo

Political Price Cycles in Regulated Industries : : Theory and Evidence / / Claudio Paiva, Rodrigo Moita

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2006

ISBN

9786613821508

9781462301362

1462301363

9781452758206

1452758204

9781282448315

1282448315

9781451909739

145190973X

Edizione

[1st ed.]

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (24 p.)

Collana

IMF Working Papers

Altri autori (Persone)

MoitaRodrigo

Soggetti

Prices - Government policy

Price regulation

Business cycles

Deflation

Economic growth

Energy: Demand and Supply

Energy: General

Fuel prices

Gas industry

Gasoline

Inflation

Investment & securities

Investments: Energy

Macroeconomics

Oil prices

Price Level

Prices

Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: General (includes Measurement and Data)

United States



Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

"November 2006."

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references.

Nota di contenuto

""Contents""; ""I. INTRODUCTION""; ""II. BACKGROUND""; ""III. A MODEL OF A POLITICAL PRICE CYCLES IN A REGULATED INDUSTRY""; ""IV. EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE""; ""V. CONCLUDING REMARKS""; ""Appendix 1. List of Countries Included in the Empirical Work""; ""REFERENCES""

Sommario/riassunto

This paper develops a model of political regulation in which politicians set the regulated price in order to maximize electoral support by signaling to voters a pro-consumer behavior. Political incentives and welfare constraints interact in the model, yielding an equilibrium in which the real price in a regulated industry may fall in periods immediately preceding an election. The paper also provides empirical support for the theoretical model. Using quarterly data from 32 industrial and developing countries over 1978-2004, we find strong statistical and econometric evidence pointing toward the existence of electoral price cycles in gasoline markets.