1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910969850103321

Autore

Stepanyan Ara

Titolo

A New Keynesian Model of the Armenian Economy / / Ara Stepanyan, Era Dabla-Norris, Ashot Mkrtchyan

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009

ISBN

9786612842870

9781462369904

1462369901

9781282842878

1282842870

9781451872132

1451872135

9781451993325

1451993323

Edizione

[1st ed.]

Descrizione fisica

43 p. : ill

Collana

IMF Working Papers

Altri autori (Persone)

Dabla-NorrisEra

MkrtchyanAshot

Disciplina

332.1

Soggetti

Inflation targeting - Armenia

Monetary policy - Armenia

Banks and Banking

Central Banks and Their Policies

Consumption

Currency

Deflation

Economics

Exchange rates

Exports and Imports

Finance

Financial services

Foreign Exchange

Foreign exchange

General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation

Inflation

Interest rates

Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects

International economics

International finance

Macroeconomics



Macroeconomics: Consumption

Monetary Policy

National accounts

Neoclassical

Price Level

Prices

Real exchange rates

Real interest rates

Remittances

Saving

Wealth

Armenia, Republic of

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

Bibliographic Level Mode of Issuance: Monograph

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references.

Nota di contenuto

Intro -- Contents -- I. Introduction -- II. Stylized Facts About the Armenian Economy -- A. Stylized Facts on Long-Term Trends -- B. Business Cycle Fluctuations -- III. Model Environment -- A. Households -- B. Firms -- C. Equilibrium -- D. Model Calibration and Estimation -- IV. Model Properties -- A. Impulse Responses -- B. Correspondence Between the Model and Observed Data -- V. Conclusion -- Figures -- 1. Long-Term Trends and Business Cycle Movements from Trends -- 2. Business CycleFluctuations of Detrended Series -- 3. Home Good Inflation Shock -- 4. Imported Good Inflation Shock -- 5. Productivity Shock -- 6. Remittances Shock -- 7. Foreign Output Shock -- 8. Policy Interest Rate -- 9. Estimated and Observed Variables -- 10. Estimated Structural Shocks -- 11. Population Standard Deviations -- 12. Population Autocorrelation Coefficients -- 13. Population Cross-Correlation Coefficients -- 14. Historical Model Forecasts -- Appendices -- A. Model Equations -- B. Data Description -- References.

Sommario/riassunto

This paper develops a small open economy dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model of the Armenian economy. The structure of the model is largely motivated by recent developments in DSGE modeling, with key extensions to incorporate specific structural characteristics of the Armenian economy. The resultant model can be used to simulate monetary policy paths and help analyze the robustness of policy conclusions. The paper tests the model’s properties on Armenian data, demonstrating that the main stylized features relevant for monetary policy making are well captured by the model.