1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910969549103321

Autore

Abramowicz Michael

Titolo

Predictocracy : market mechanisms for public and private decision making / / Michael Abramowicz

Pubbl/distr/stampa

New Haven, : Yale University Press, c2007

ISBN

9786612088575

9781282088573

1282088572

9780300144956

0300144954

Edizione

[1st ed.]

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (1 online resource (xviii, 346 p.) ) : ill

Disciplina

658.4/0355

Soggetti

Business forecasting

Economic forecasting

Decision making

Forecasting

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

Bibliographic Level Mode of Issuance: Monograph

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references (p. 315-342) and index.

Nota di contenuto

The media -- Policy analysts -- Businesses -- Committees -- Regulatory bodies -- Administrative agencies -- Public corporations -- Courts -- Legislative bodies -- Predictocracy.

Sommario/riassunto

Predicting the future is serious business for virtually all public and private institutions, for they must often make important decisions based on such predictions. This visionary book explores how institutions from legislatures to corporations might improve their predictions and arrive at better decisions by means of prediction markets, a promising new tool with virtually unlimited potential applications. Michael Abramowicz explains how prediction markets work; why they accurately forecast elections, sports contests, and other events; and how they may even advance the ideals of our system of republican government. He also explores the ways in which prediction markets address common problems related to institutional decision making. Throughout the book the author extends current thinking about prediction markets and offers imaginative proposals for their use



in an array of settings and situations.