1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910969260703321

Autore

Ostry Jonathan

Titolo

What Makes Growth Sustained? / / Jonathan Ostry, Andrew Berg, Jeromin Zettelmeyer

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2008

ISBN

9786612840401

9781462390113

1462390110

9781452734965

1452734968

9781282840409

1282840401

9781451869217

1451869215

Edizione

[1st ed.]

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (35 p.)

Collana

IMF Working Papers

Altri autori (Persone)

BergAndrew

ZettelmeyerJeromin

Disciplina

338.10247

Soggetti

Economic development - Econometric models

Aggregate Factor Income Distribution

Economic policy

Empirical Studies of Trade

Exports and Imports

Exports

Income distribution

Income inequality

Income

International economics

Macroeconomics

Nternational cooperation

Terms of trade

Trade: General

United States

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia



Note generali

"March 2008."

At head of title: Research Department.

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references (p. 30-33).

Nota di contenuto

Contents; I. Introduction; II. Structural Breaks and "Growth Spells"; A. Identifying Structural Breaks in Economic Growth; Tables; 1. Growth Breaks by Decade and Region; Figure; Frequency of Upbreaks and Downbreaks, by Region; B. From Structural Breaks to Growth Spells; 2. Frequency and Duration of Growth Spells; III. Analyzing the Duration of Growth Spells; 3. Average Growth Before, During and After Growth Spells; A. Empirical Strategy; B. Regression Methodology; C. Results; 4. Duration Regressions: External Shocks; 5. Duration Regressions: Institutions

6. Duration Regressions: Inequality and Franctionalization7. Duration Regressions: Social and Physical Indicators; 8. Duration Regressions: Globalization; 9. Duration Regressions: Current Account, Competitiveness, and Export Structure; 10. Duration Regressions: Macroeconomic Volatility; 11. Summary Regressions; IV. Conclusion; References

Sommario/riassunto

We identify structural breaks in economic growth in 140 countries and use these to define "growth spells:" periods of high growth preceded by an upbreak and ending either with a downbreak or with the end of the sample. Growth spells tend to be shorter in African and Latin American countries than elsewhere. We find that growth duration is positively related to: the degree of equality of the income distribution; democratic institutions; export orientation (with higher propensities to export manufactures, greater openness to FDI, and avoidance of exchange rate overvaluation favorable for duration); and macroeconomic stability (with even moderate instability curtailing growth duration).