1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910967323403321

Autore

Karam Philippe

Titolo

Specification of a Stochastic Simulation Model for Assessing Debt Sustainability in Emerging Market Economies / / Philippe Karam, Douglas Hostland

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2006

ISBN

9786613830135

9781462373000

1462373003

9781452702711

1452702713

9781283517683

128351768X

9781451909814

1451909810

Edizione

[1st ed.]

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (35 p.)

Collana

IMF Working Papers

Altri autori (Persone)

HostlandDouglas

Soggetti

Debts, External - Developing countries

Economic development - Developing countries

Banks and Banking

Debt burden

Debt Management

Debt

Debts, External

Debts, Public

Deflation

Exports and Imports

External debt

Finance

Inflation

Interest rates

Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects

International economics

International Lending and Debt Problems

Macroeconomics

Price Level

Prices

Public debt



Public finance & taxation

Public Finance

Real interest rates

Sovereign Debt

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

"December 2006."

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references.

Nota di contenuto

""Contents""; ""I. OVERVIEW""; ""II. MODEL STRUCTURE""; ""III. CALIBRATION METHODOLOGY""; ""IV. MODEL PROPERTIES""; ""V. CONCLUSIONS""; ""REFERENCES""

Sommario/riassunto

This paper documents the specification of a model that was constructed to assess debt sustainability in emerging market economies. Key features of the model include external and fiscal sectors, which allow assessment of external and public debt in a unified framework; public and external debt, which both have an explicit maturity structure along with a distinction between denomination in domestic versus foreign currency to facilitate debt management analysis; monetary and fiscal policy, which are endogenous and specified using explicit forward-looking policy rules; an endogenous risk premium on public and external debt; and a mechanism for invoking a sudden stop in private capital flows. The paper provides an overview of the basic structure of the model, outlines the methodology used to calibrate the parameters, and illustrates the key properties of the model with reference to dynamic responses of selected variables to shocks of interest.