1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910965823603321

Autore

Sgherri Silvia

Titolo

Regional Financial Spillovers Across Europe : : A Global VAR Analysis / / Silvia Sgherri, Alessandro Galesi

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009

ISBN

9786612842450

9781462372935

1462372937

9781452799520

1452799520

9781282842458

1282842455

9781451871708

1451871708

Edizione

[1st ed.]

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (34 p.)

Collana

IMF Working Papers

Altri autori (Persone)

GalesiAlessandro

Disciplina

332.6322

Soggetti

Capital movements - Econometric models

Econometrics

Banking

Banks and Banking

Banks and banking

Banks and banking, Foreign

Banks

Credit

Depository Institutions

Diffusion Processes

Dynamic Quantile Regressions

Dynamic Treatment Effect Models

Econometric analysis

Econometrics & economic statistics

Finance

Financial institutions

Financial Instruments

Financial services

Foreign banks

General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation

Institutional Investors

Interbank rates



Interest rates

Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects

Investment & securities

Investments: Stocks

Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: Forecasting and Simulation

Micro Finance Institutions

Monetary economics

Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General

Money and Monetary Policy

Money

Mortgages

Non-bank Financial Institutions

Pension Funds

State Space Models

Stocks

Time-Series Models

Vector autoregression

United States

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

Description based upon print version of record.

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references.

Nota di contenuto

Contents; I. Introduction; II. The GVAR Model (1999-2008); A. Structure of the model; B. The data and properties of the series; III. Estimation; A. Conditions for the GVAR estimation; B. Estimation of the country-specific models; C. Testing for weak exogeneity; D. Impact Elasticities; IV. Dynamic Analysis; A. Generalized Impulse Response Functions; B. Generalized Forecast Error Variance Decompositions; V. Concluding Remarks; Figures; 1. Increasing Reliance of Emerging Europe on Foreign Bank Funding; 2. Concentration of Emerging Europe Exposure toWestern Europe

Sommario/riassunto

The recent financial crisis raises important issues about the transmission of financial shocks across borders. In this paper, a global vector autoregressive (GVAR) model is constructed to assess the relevance of international spillovers following a historical slowdown in U.S. equity prices. The GVAR model contains 27 country-specific models, including the United States, 17 European advanced economies, and 9 European emerging economies. Each country model is linked to the others by a set of country-specific foreign variables, computed using bilateral bank lending exposures. Results reveal considerable comovements of equity prices across mature financial markets. However, the effects on credit growth are found to be country-specific. Evidence indicates that asset prices are the main channel through which-in the short run-financial shocks are transmitted internationally, while the contribution of other variables-like the cost and quantity of credit-becomes more important over longer horizons.