1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910965782803321

Autore

Adler Gustavo

Titolo

Riding Global Financial Waves : : The Economic Impact of Global Financial Shocks on Emerging Market Economies / / Gustavo Adler, Camilo Tovar Mora

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2012

ISBN

9781475570069

1475570066

9781475574005

1475574002

Edizione

[1st ed.]

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (27 p.)

Collana

IMF Working Papers

IMF working paper ; ; WP/12/188

Altri autori (Persone)

Tovar MoraCamilo

Disciplina

330.9378

Soggetti

Financial risk

Financial crises

Currency

Debts, External

Emerging and frontier financial markets

Exchange rate flexibility

Exports and Imports

External debt

External position

Finance

Finance: General

Financial Aspects of Economic Integration

Financial integration

Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

Financial markets

Financial services industry

Foreign assets

Foreign Exchange

Foreign exchange

General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data)

International Business Cycles

International economics

International finance

International Investment

International Lending and Debt Problems



Investments, Foreign

Long-term Capital Movements

Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: Forecasting and Simulation

Greece

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

Description based upon print version of record.

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references.

Nota di contenuto

Cover; Contents; I. Introduction; II. Recurrent Episodes of Global Financial Stress; Figures; 1. Global Financial Shocks, 1990-2011; Tables; 1. Global Financial Shocks, 1990-2011; 2. Key Variables during Episodes of Global Financial Shocks, 1990-2011; III. Financial Integration and Economic Fundamentals: Acting in Opposing Directions?; 3. Financial Openness, 1990-2011; 4. EMEs and SAEs Financial Openness, 2010; IV. The Impact of Global Financial shocks; A. Sample, Data, and Econometric Approach; 5. Macroeconomic Fundamentals, 1990-2010

6. Key Macroeconomic Fundamentals in EMEs and SAEs, 2010 versus 20007. Output Performance during Global Financial Shocks, 1990-2011; 8. Output Performance during Global Financial Shocks, 1990-2011; 9. Output Performance and Fundamentals during Global Financial Shocks, 1990-2011; B. Cross-Sectional Results; 2. Main Results of Cross-Section Estimation; 10. Macro Fundamentals and the Impact of Global Shocks; V. Assessing Vulnerabilities: Simulation Analysis; 11. Impact of Global Shock; VI. Conclusions; References; Annex 1; Annex 2

Annex 1. Key Global Variables during Global Financial Shocks, 1990-2011Annex 3; Annex 2. Exchange Rate Pressures during Global Financial Shocks

Sommario/riassunto

Over the past two decades, most emerging market economies witnessed two key developments. A marked process of financial integration with the rest of the world, arguably turning these economies more vulnerable to global financial shocks; and an improvement of macroeconomic fundamentals, helping to increase their resiliency to these shocks. Against a backdrop of these opposing forces, are these economies more vulnerable to global financial shocks today than in the past? Have better fundamentals offset increasing financial integration? If so, what fundamentals matter most? We address these questions by examining the role of these two forces over the past two decades in amplifying or buffering the economic impact of these shocks. Our findings show that EMEs, with the exception of Emerging Europe, have become less vulnerable. Exchange rate flexibility and external sustainability are key determinants of the impact of these shocks, while the extent to which deeper financial integration is a source of vulnerability depends on the exchange rate regime.