1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910965597303321

Autore

Kandil Magda

Titolo

Determinants of Inflation in GCC / / Magda Kandil, Hanan Morsy

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009

ISBN

9786612843020

9781462392100

1462392105

9781451872293

1451872291

9781451998368

1451998368

9781282843028

1282843028

Edizione

[1st ed.]

Descrizione fisica

32 p. : ill

Collana

IMF Working Papers

Altri autori (Persone)

MorsyHanan

Disciplina

332.414

Soggetti

Inflation (Finance)

Business Fluctuations

Capacity utilization

Currency

Cycles

Deflation

Economic Development: General

Economic Integration

Exchange rate adjustments

Exchange rates

Expenditure

Expenditures, Public

Foreign Exchange

Foreign exchange

Industrial capacity

Inflation

International Policy Coordination and Transmission

Macroeconomics

Macroeconomics: Production

National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General

Open Economy Macroeconomics

Price Level

Prices



Production and Operations Management

Production

Public finance & taxation

Public Finance

United Arab Emirates

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

Bibliographic Level Mode of Issuance: Monograph

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references.

Nota di contenuto

Cover -- Contents -- I. Introduction -- II. Literature Review -- III. Econometric Methodology -- IV. Data and Estimation -- V. Extensions -- VI. Conclusions -- References -- Text Tables -- 1. Cointegration Test for Inflation Equation -- 2. Vector Error Correction Estimates: Lon Run Equation -- Appendix Figure 1. Impulse Response -- Appendix Tables -- 1. Bahrain: Vector Error Correction Estimates -- 2. Kuwait: Vector Error Correction Estimates -- 3. Oman: Vector Error Correction Estimates -- 4. Qatar: Vector Error Correction Estimates -- 5. Saudi Arabia: Vector Error Correction Estimates -- 6. United Arab Emirates: Vector Error Correction Estimates -- 7. Variance Decomposition p -- 8. Bahrain: Vector Error Correction Estimates -- 9. Kuwait: Vector Error Correction Estimates -- 10. Oman: Vector Error Correction Estimates -- 11. United Arab Emirates: Vector Error Correction Estimates.

Sommario/riassunto

Inflationary pressures have heightened in the oil-rich Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) since 2003. This paper studies determinants of inflation in GCC, using an empirical model that includes domestic and external factors. Inflation in major trading partners appears to be the most relevant foreign factor. In addition, oil revenues have reinforced inflationary pressures through growth of credit and aggregate spending. In the short-run, binding capacity constraints also explain higher inflation given increased government spending. Nonetheless, by targeting supply-side bottlenecks, the increase in government spending is easing capacity constraints and will ultimately help to moderate price inflation.