1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910965467503321

Autore

Mun Johnathan

Titolo

Modeling risk : applying Monte Carlo simulation, real options analysis, forecasting, and optimization techniques / / Johnathan Mun

Pubbl/distr/stampa

New York, : Wiley, 2010

ISBN

9786613320704

9786612688041

9781283320702

1283320703

9780470620014

0470620013

9781118366332

1118366336

9781282688049

1282688049

9780470619995

0470619996

Edizione

[2nd ed.]

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (976 p.)

Collana

Wiley finance ; ; 580

Classificazione

31.80

Disciplina

658.15/5

Soggetti

Risk assessment

Risk assessment - Mathematical models

Risk management

Finance - Decision making

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

Includes index.

Nota di contenuto

Moving beyond uncertainty -- From risk to riches -- A guide to model-building etiquette -- On the shores of Monaco -- Test driving risk simulator -- Pandora's toolbox -- Extended business cases I : pharmaceutical and biotech negotiations, oil and gas exploration, financial planning with simulation, hospital risk management, risk-based executive compensation valuation, and risk-based schedule planning -- Tomorrow's forecast today -- Using the past to predict the future -- The search for the optimal decision -- Optimization under



uncertainty -- What is so real about real options, and why are they optional? -- The black box made transparent : real options super lattice solver software -- Extended business cases II : real estate, banking, military strategy, automotive aftermarkets, global earth observation systems, employee stock options, oil and gas royalty lease negotiations, real options and IT enterprise risk security, Basel II credit and market risk analysis, and IT information security intrusion risk management -- The warning signs -- Changing a corporate culture.

Sommario/riassunto

An updated guide to risk analysis and modeling  Although risk was once seen as something that was both unpredictable and uncontrollable, the evolution of risk analysis tools and theories has changed the way we look at this important business element. In the Second Edition of Analyzing and Modeling Risk, expert Dr. Johnathan Mun provides up-to-date coverage of risk analysis as it is applied within the realms of business risk analysis and offers an intuitive feel of what risk looks like, as well as the different ways of quantifying it.   This Second Edition provides professionals in all industri