1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910965323603321

Autore

Kumar Manmohan

Titolo

Policy Credibility and Sovereign Credit : The Case of New EU Member States / / Manmohan Kumar, Jirí Jonáš, David Hauner

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2007

ISBN

9786613822352

9781462337682

1462337686

9781452763248

1452763240

9781282558212

1282558218

9781451910186

1451910185

Edizione

[1st ed.]

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (31 p.)

Collana

IMF Working Papers

Altri autori (Persone)

HaunerDavid

JonášJiří

Disciplina

332

335.4/12

Soggetti

Fiscal policy - Europe, Central

Fiscal policy - Europe, Eastern

Fiscal policy - European Union countries

Credit ratings - Europe, Central

Credit ratings - Europe, Eastern

Credit ratings - European Union countries

Debts, Public - Europe, Central

Debts, Public - Europe, Eastern

Debts, Public - European Union countries

Balance of payments

Banks and Banking

Currencies

Current Account Adjustment

Current account balance

Deflation

Emerging and frontier financial markets

Exports and Imports

Finance

Finance: General

Financial markets



Financial services industry

Financial services

General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data)

Government and the Monetary System

Inflation

Interest rates

Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects

International economics

Macroeconomics

Monetary economics

Monetary Systems

Money and Monetary Policy

Money

Payment Systems

Price Level

Prices

Real interest rates

Regimes

Short-term Capital Movements

Standards

United States

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

"January 2007."

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references (p. 17-19).

Nota di contenuto

Contents; I. Introduction; II. Policy Credibility and Sovereign Credit; III. The Case of the New Member States; IV. Methodology and Data; A. Testing Strategy; B. Data; C. Estimation Issues; II. Results; A. All Countries; B. New Member States; C. Robustness; III. Conclusions; References; Figure; EU8-Government Debt, Interest Expenditure, and Effective Interest Rate (1995 = 100); Tables; 1. Variable Description; 2. Sovereign Ratings-Recursive Estimates; 3. Foreign Currency Spreads-Recursive Estimates; 4. Local Currency Yields-Recursive Estimates

5. Illustrative Quantitative Effects of NMS Coefficients6. Sovereign Ratings-Robustness Checks; 7. Foreign Currency Spreads-Robustness Checks; 8. Local Currency Yields-Robustness Checks; Appendix; Computation of Bond Spreads; Appendix; Computation of Bond Spreads

Sommario/riassunto

References to policy credibility, particularly with regard to fiscal policy, are ubiquitous in both economic literature and financial markets, even though it is not directly observable. The case of the EU new member states (NMS)-emerging markets joining a supranational entity that is generally considered to have higher policy credibility-provides a unique experiment to assess the effects of credibility on sovereign credit. This paper examines the impact of EU accession on three key variables that can reflect in varying degrees policy credibility: sovereign ratings, foreign currency spreads, and local currency yields. The results suggest that the NMS appear to have enjoyed higher credibility compared to their peers.