1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910962137203321

Autore

Elekdag Selim

Titolo

Capital Inflows : : Macroeconomic Implications and Policy Responses / / Selim Elekdag, Ayhan Kose, Roberto Cardarelli

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009

ISBN

9786612842627

9781462350735

1462350739

9781452761176

1452761175

9781282842625

1282842625

9781451871883

1451871880

Edizione

[1st ed.]

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (62 p.)

Collana

IMF Working Papers

Altri autori (Persone)

CardarelliRoberto

KoseAyhan

Disciplina

332.0424

Soggetti

Capital investments

Capital movements

Balance of payments

Banking

Banks and Banking

Capital controls

Capital inflows

Central Banks and Their Policies

Central banks

Currency markets

Currency

Current Account Adjustment

Exchange rates

Exports and Imports

Finance

Finance: General

Financial markets

Foreign exchange market

Foreign Exchange

Foreign exchange

International economics



International Finance: General

International Financial Markets

International Investment

International Lending and Debt Problems

Long-term Capital Movements

Short-term Capital Movements

Sterilization

Costa Rica

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

Description based upon print version of record.

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references.

Nota di contenuto

Contents; I. Introduction; II. Database and Methodology; A. Database; B. Methodology; III. Capital Inflows: Basic Stylized Facts; A. Capital Inflows Over Time; B. Episodes of Large Capital Inflows; IV. Policy Responses to Large Capital Inflows; A. Exchange Rate Policy; B. Sterilization Policy; C. Fiscal Policy; D. Capital Controls; V. Policy Responses: Basic Stylized Facts; A. Policy Responses During Episodes of Large Capital Inflows; VI. Linking Macroeconomic Outcomes and Policy Responses; A. Macroeconomic Outcomes: Basic Stylized Facts; B. How to Avoid a Hard Landing After the Inflows?

C. How to Contain Real Exchange Rate Appreciation?D. Any Role for Capital Controls?; E. Do Persistence of Inflows and External Imbalances Matter?; VII. Conclusions; Tables; 1. List of Net Private Capital Inflow Episodes; 2. Episodes of Large Net Private Capital Inflows: Summary Statistics; 3. Post-Inflows GDP Growth Regressions; 4. Real Exchange Rate Regressions; Figures; 1. Net Private Capital Inflows to Emerging Markets; 2. Mexico: Identification of Large Net Private Capital Inflow Episodes; 3. Gross Capital Flows, Current Account Balance, and Reserve Accumulation

4. Current Account Balances, Capital Inflows, and Reserves by Region 5. Net FDP and Non-FDI Inflows by Region; 6. Basic Characteristics of Episodes of Large Net Private Capital Inflows; 7. Exchange Market Pressures (EMP) Across Regions; 8. Exchange Market Pressures, Sterilization, and Government Expenditures; 9. Evolution of Capital Controls; 10. Policy Indicators and Episodes of Large Capital Inflows; 11. Selected Macroeconomic Variables During Large Capital Inflows; 12. Post-Inflow GDP Growth and Policies; 13. Real Exchange Rate Appreciation and Policies When Inflation Accelerates

14. Macroeconomic Outcomes and Capital Controls15. Exchange Market Pressures and Duration of Capital Inflow Episodes; 16. Fiscal Policy and Balance of Payment Pressures; 17. Regional Dimensions; Appendix; References

Sommario/riassunto

This paper examines the macroeconomic implications of, and policy responses to surges in private capital inflows across a large group of emerging and advanced economies. In particular, we identify 109 episodes of large net private capital inflows to 52 countries over 1987-2007. Episodes of large capital inflows are often associated with real exchange rate appreciations and deteriorating current account balances. More importantly, such episodes tend to be accompanied by an acceleration of GDP growth, but afterwards growth has often



dropped significantly. A comprehensive assessment of various policy responses to the large inflow episodes leads to three major conclusions. First, keeping public expenditure growth steady during episodes can help limit real currency appreciation and foster better growth outcomes in their aftermath. Second, resisting nominal exchange rate appreciation through sterilized intervention is likely to be ineffective when the influx of capital is persistent. Third, tightening capital controls has not in general been associated with better outcomes.