1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910961808603321

Autore

Leigh Daniel

Titolo

The Second Transition : : Eastern Europe in Perspective / / Daniel Leigh, Stefania Fabrizio, Ashoka Mody

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009

ISBN

9786612842658

9781462379996

1462379990

9781452798509

1452798508

9781451871913

1451871910

9781282842656

128284265X

Edizione

[1st ed.]

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (35 p.)

Collana

IMF Working Papers

Altri autori (Persone)

FabrizioStefania

ModyAshoka

Disciplina

338.39420

Soggetti

Economic development - Europe, Eastern

Economics - Europe, Eastern

Aggregate Factor Income Distribution

Balance of payments

Corporate Finance and Governance

Currency

Current Account Adjustment

Current account deficits

Economic Development: Financial Markets

Economic Growth of Open Economies

Economywide Country Studies: General

Exports and Imports

Exports

Finance

Finance: General

Financial integration

Financial markets

Foreign Exchange

Foreign exchange

General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data)

Income



Institutions and Growth

International economics

International finance

International Investment

International trade

Long-term Capital Movements

Macroeconomics

National accounts

Real exchange rates

Saving and Capital Investment

Short-term Capital Movements

Trade: General

Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, People's Republic of China

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

Description based upon print version of record.

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references.

Nota di contenuto

Contents; I. Introduction; Figures; 1(a). CEE GDP per capita as a percent of EU-15 GDP per capital, 1995-2007; 1(b). GDP per capita as a share of US GDP, major emerging market regions, 1995-2007; II. Openness and Institutions; 2(a). CEE Trade Openness Trends, 1995-2007; 2(b). CEE World Market Shares and Real Exchange Rate Trends, 1995-2007; 3. CEE Structural Transformation of Exports, 1994-2004; 4. CEE Trends in Financial Integration, 1995-2007; 5. CEE Trends in Institutional Strength, 1995-2007; 6. Average Value of Fiscal Institutions Index, 1991-2004

III. Emerging Market Regions in Perspective 7. Regional Trends in Trade and Financial Openness; 8. Regional Trends in Export Shares and Real Effective Exchange Rates, 1995-2007; IV. Growth Outcomes; A. Accelerations; 9. Current Account Trends, 1995-2007; 10. Regional Trends in Institutional Strengthening, 1995-2007; Box; 1. Growth Accelerations: Methodology and Data; Tables; 1. Growth Acceleration Episodes, by Region; 2. Frequency of Growth Accelerations, by Region; 3. Correlates of Growth Accelerations; B. Traditional Growth Analysis; V. Financial Turbulence: A Test of the Economic Model?

11. Financial Stress VI. Conclusions; References

Sommario/riassunto

The countries of Eastern Europe achieved two remarkable transitions in the short period of the last two decades: from plan to market and, then, in the run-up to and entry into the European Union, they rode a wave of global trade and financial market integration. Focusing on the second transition, this paper reaches three conclusions. First, by several metrics, East European and East Asian growth performances were about on par from the mid-1990s; both regions far surpassed Latin American growth. Second, the mechanisms of growth in East Europe and East Asia were, however, very different. East Europe relied on a distinctive-often discredited-model, embracing financial integration with structural change to compensate for appreciating real exchange rates. In contrast, East Asia contained further financial integration and maintained steady or depreciating real exchange rates. Third, the ongoing financial turbulence has, thus far, not had an



obviously differential impact on emerging market regions: rather, the hot spots in each region reflect individual country vulnerabilities. If the East European growth model is distinctive, is it sustainable and replicable? The paper speculates on the possibilities.