1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910961192903321

Autore

Zoli Edda

Titolo

Euro Area Sovereign Risk During the Crisis / / Edda Zoli, Silvia Sgherri

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009

ISBN

9786612844263

9781462394104

1462394108

9781452749051

1452749051

9781451873696

1451873697

9781282844261

1282844261

Edizione

[1st ed.]

Descrizione fisica

23 p. : ill

Collana

IMF Working Papers

Altri autori (Persone)

SgherriSilvia

Disciplina

332.042

Soggetti

Global Financial Crisis, 2008-2009

Financial crises - European Union countries - Econometric models

Risk management - European Union countries - Econometric models

Bonds

Capacity

Capital market

Capital

Economic & financial crises & disasters

Finance

Finance: General

Financial Crises

Financial crises

Financial Institutions and Services: General

Financial Risk Management

Financial sector

Financial services industry

General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data)

Industries: Financial Services

Intangible Capital

Investment & securities

Investment

Investments: Bonds

Investments: General



Macroeconomics

Return on investment

Saving and investment

Securities markets

Sovereign bonds

Ireland

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

"European Department."

Nota di contenuto

Intro -- Contents -- I. Introduction -- II. Euro Area Sovereign Risk and the Crisis: Stylized Facts -- III. Dissecting Common Risk -- IV. Explaining Developments in Euro Area Sovereign Risk During The Crisis -- V. Conclusion -- Tables -- 1. Explaining Common Factor's Dynamics -- 2. Panel Estimates -- 3. Seemingly Unrelated Regression Estimates, January 2003-January 2009 -- 4. Seemingly Unrelated Regression Estimates, January 2003-March 2009 -- Figures -- 1. Selected Euro Area Sovereign Spreads, June 2008-09 -- 2. Dispersion in Euro Area Sovereign Spreads, January 2001-June 2009 -- 3. Headline Deficit: Contributions from Automatic Stabilizers and Discretionary Measures -- 4. Up-front Government Financing Need to Shore Up the Financial Sector -- 5. From Credit Risk to Sovereign Risk: The Case of Ireland -- 6. Sovereign Spreads and Financial EDFs in Euro Area Countries -- 7. Estimated Common Component in Sovereign Spreads -- 8. A Preliminary Look at the Determinants of Spreads Behavior -- 9. Contributions to the Change in Spreads, January 2003-January 2009 -- 10. Contributions to the Change in Spreads, January 2003-March 2009 -- References.

Sommario/riassunto

While the use of public resources is critical to cushion the impact of the financial crisis on the euro-area economy, it is key that the entailed fiscal costs not be seen by markets as undermining fiscal sustainability. From this perspective, to what extent do movements in euro area sovereign spreads reflect country-specific solvency concerns? In line with previous studies, the paper suggests that euro area sovereign risk premium differentials tend to comove over time and are mainly driven by a common time-varying factor, mimicking global risk repricing. Since October 2008, however, there is evidence that markets have become progressively more concerned about the potential fiscal implications of national financial sectors' frailty and future debt dynamics. The liquidity of sovereign bond markets still seems to play a significant (albeit fairly limited) role in explaining changes in euro area spreads.