1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910960886403321

Titolo

Employment Effects of Growth Rebalancing in China

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009

ISBN

9786612843822

9781462325498

1462325491

9781452797489

145279748X

9781282843820

1282843826

9781451873160

1451873166

Edizione

[1st ed.]

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (18 p.)

Collana

IMF Working Papers

Disciplina

330.951035

Soggetti

Exports - China

Imports - China

Labor market - China

Aggregate Human Capital

Aggregate Labor Productivity

Consumption

Economic theory

Economics

Employment

Government consumption

Income economics

Industrial productivity

Industries: Service

Industry Studies: Services: General

Intergenerational Income Distribution

Labor economics

Labor Economics: General

Labor

Labour

Macroeconomics

Macroeconomics: Consumption

Macroeconomics: Production

Production and Operations Management



Productivity

Saving

Service industries

Services sector

Unemployment

Wages

Wealth

China Economic conditions

China, People's Republic of

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

"August 2009."

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references.

Nota di contenuto

Contents; I. Introduction; II. Sectoral Employment Allocation; A. Sectoral Distribution of Employment; B. Regional Distribution of Employment; C. Skills Intensity of Employment by Sector; D. Labor Intensity by Sector; III. Employment Effects of Rebalancing; A. Determinants of the Sectoral Allocation of Employment from Cross-Country Experience; B. Model-based simulations of the potential impact on employment of rebalancing growth; Appendix: Key Features of the GIMF Model; References

Sommario/riassunto

This paper gauges the potential effects on employment of rebalancing China's exportoriented growth model toward domestic demand, particularly private consumption. Shifting to a private consumption-led growth likely means more demand for existing and new services as well as reorienting the production of tradable goods toward domestic markets. In China's case, this would also imply moving a large number of less skilled labor from the tradable sector to the nontradable sector. The paper shows that while rebalancing China's growth toward a domestic-demand-led economy would likely raise aggregate employment and employment opportunities in the longer term, there could be employment losses in the short run as the economy moves away from the tradable sector toward the nontradable sector. Mitigating these costs will require active labor market policies to cushion the employment impact in the transition, particularly in meeting the skills gap of associated with this transition.