1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910960579403321

Autore

Carnot Nicolas

Titolo

Economic Forecasting / / by N. Carnot, V. Koen, B. Tissot

Pubbl/distr/stampa

London : , : Palgrave Macmillan UK : , : Imprint : Palgrave Macmillan, , 2005

ISBN

9786610283033

9781403936530

1403936536

9781280283031

1280283033

9780230005815

0230005810

Edizione

[1st ed. 2005.]

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (XIX, 315 p.)

Altri autori (Persone)

KoenVincent

TissotBruno

Disciplina

330/.01/12

Soggetti

Macroeconomics

Economic policy

Econometrics

Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics

Economic Policy

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

Bibliographic Level Mode of Issuance: Monograph

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references (p. 292-302) and index.

Nota di contenuto

Cover -- Contents -- List of Figures -- List of Tables -- List of Boxes -- Foreword -- Acknowledgements -- Acronyms -- Introduction -- 1 First Principles -- 2 The Data -- 3 Incoming News and Near-Term Forecasting -- 4 Time Series Methods -- 5 Modelling Behaviour -- 6 Macroeconomic Models -- 7 Medium- and Long-Run Projections -- 8 Financial and Commodity Markets -- 9 Budget Forecasts -- 10 Sectoral Forecasting -- 11 Accuracy -- 12 Using the Forecasts -- 13 Communication Challenges -- 14 A Tour of the Forecasting Institutions -- Epilogue -- Bibliography -- Index.

Sommario/riassunto

Economic Forecasting provides a comprehensive overview of macroeconomic forecasting. The focus is first on a wide range of



theories as well as empirical methods: business cycle analysis, time series methods, macroeconomic models, medium and long-run projections, fiscal and financial forecasts, and sectoral forecasting. In addition, the book addresses the main issues surrounding the use of forecasts (accuracy, communication challenges) and their policy implications. A tour of the economic data and forecasting institutions is also provided.