1.

Record Nr.

UNINA990002620730403321

Autore

Ballon, Robert J.

Titolo

Japan's Market and Foreign Business / di BA LLON Robert

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Tokyo : Sophia University, 1971

Locazione

ECA

Collocazione

4-9-53-TI

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

2.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910959813703321

Autore

Kodres Laura

Titolo

Emerging Market Spread Compression : : Is it Real or is it Liquidity? / / Laura Kodres, Kristian Hartelius, Kenichiro Kashiwase

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2008

ISBN

9786613820969

9781462323524

1462323529

9781452766249

145276624X

9781282447738

1282447734

9781451913255

1451913257

Edizione

[1st ed.]

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (38 p.)

Collana

IMF Working Papers

Altri autori (Persone)

HarteliusKristian

KashiwaseKenichiro

Disciplina

338.2357

Soggetti

Bonds - Developing countries - Econometric models

Liquidity (Economics) - Econometric models

Credit ratings - Developing countries - Econometric models

Banks and Banking

Capital market

Credit ratings

Derivative securities

Emerging and frontier financial markets

Finance



Finance: General

Financial Instruments

Financial services industry

Futures

General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data)

Institutional Investors

Interest rates

Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects

Investments: Futures

Monetary economics

Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General

Money and Monetary Policy

Non-bank Financial Institutions

Pension Funds

Securities markets

Yield curve

United States

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

"January 2008."

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references (p. 35-36).

Nota di contenuto

Contents; I. Introduction; II. Data; A. Variables; Emerging Market Bond Spreads; Tables; 1. Availability of EMBI and EMBI Global; Credit Ratings and Outlooks; Fed Funds Futures; Figures; 1. Changes in Sovereign Credit Ratings and Outlook: January 1991~February 2007; Volatility in the Fed Funds Futures Market; Volatility Index of S&P 500 (VIX); 2. Volatility of Fed Funds Futures Market and Emerging Market Bond Spread; B. Total Credit Rating-Outlook Index (CROI); Log Linearity Between the Spreads and Ratings; 3. VIX and Emerging Market Bond Spread

Construction of the Total Credit Rating-Outlook Index (CROI)4. Average vis-à-vis Estimated Bond Spreads on Long-Term Sovereign Credit Ratings; 2. Total Credit Rating-Outlook Index (CROI); III. Results; A. Basic Model; 5. Aggregate Fundamentals: Total Credit Rating-Outlook Index (CROI) vis-à-vis Long-Term Credit-Rating Index (LTCR); 3. Basic Model Results: CROI vs. LTCR, December 1991~February 2007; B. Extended Model with Volatility; 4. Extended Model Results: CROI vs. LTCR, January 1991~February 1997; C. Graphical Interpretation of the Models

6. Actual vs. Estimated Spreads Extended Model with CROI as FundamentalsD. Contributions to EMBI Spreads; 5. Determinants of Change in the EMBIG Spread, December 2002-February 2007; IV. Conclusions; Appendix; Appendix 1.A: A Procedure of Constructing the CROI; Appendix Figure; 1. Actual and Estimated Spreads: Extended Model with CROI as Fundamentals; References

Sommario/riassunto

Despite recent turmoil, spreads on emerging market countries' sovereign bonds have fallen dramatically since mid-2002. Some have attributed the fall to improved economic fundamentals while others to



ample global liquidity. The paper models spreads and attempts to empirically distinguish between the two factors. The results indicate that fundamentals, as embedded in credit ratings, are very important, but that expectations of future U.S. interest rates and volatility in those expectations are also a key determinant of emerging market spreads.