1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910956787803321

Autore

Kinoshita Noriaki

Titolo

Government Debt and Long-Term Interest Rates / / Noriaki Kinoshita

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2006

ISBN

9786613822338

9781462363940

1462363946

9781452788494

1452788499

9781282558199

1282558196

9781451908596

1451908598

Edizione

[1st ed.]

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (25 p.)

Collana

IMF Working Papers

Soggetti

Debts, Public - Econometric models

Interest rates - Econometric models

Banks and Banking

Consumption

Debt Management

Debt

Debts, Public

Economics

Finance

Financial services

Fiscal Policy

Government consumption

Government debt management

Interest rates

Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects

Long term interest rates

Macroeconomics

Macroeconomics: Consumption

National accounts

Public debt

Public finance & taxation

Public Finance

Public financial management (PFM)



Real interest rates

Saving

Sovereign Debt

Wealth

United States

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

"March 2006."

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references.

Nota di contenuto

""Contents""; ""I. INTRODUCTION""; ""II. AN OVERVIEW OF THE LITERATURE""; ""III. THEORETICAL ANALYSIS""; ""IV. EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE""; ""V. CONCLUSION""; ""References""; ""DERIVATION OF DYNAMIC EQUILIBRIUM CONDITIONS""; ""DATA SOURCES AND DEFINITIONS""

Sommario/riassunto

This paper examines the relationship between government debt and long-term interest rates. A dynamic general equilibrium model that incorporates debt nonneutrality is specified and solved, and numerical simulations using the model are undertaken. In addition, empirical evidence using panel data for 19 industrial countries is examined. The estimation provides some evidence supporting the theoretical predictions: the paper finds that the simulated and estimated interest rate effects of government debt tend to be small. However, an increase in government consumption and debt leads to a considerably larger effect. The paper also argues that, although the interest rate effects of pure crowding out may be limited, the economic impact of accumulating government debt cannot be ignored.