1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910955024003321

Autore

Diouf Mame Astou

Titolo

Modeling Inflation for Mali / / Mame Astou Diouf

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2007

ISBN

9786613825155

9781462349760

1462349765

9781451985283

1451985282

9781283512701

128351270X

9781451913118

1451913117

Edizione

[1st ed.]

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (36 p.)

Collana

IMF Working Papers

Disciplina

338.19236

Soggetti

Consumer price indexes - Mali

Inflation (Finance) - Mali

Currency

Deflation

Demand for Money

Demand for money

Foreign Exchange

Foreign exchange

Income

Inflation

Macroeconomics

Monetary base

Monetary economics

Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General

Money and Monetary Policy

Money supply

Money

Personal income

Personal Income, Wealth, and Their Distributions

Price Level

Prices

Real exchange rates



Mali

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

"December 2007."

At head of title: African Department.

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references (p. 17-18).

Nota di contenuto

Contents; I. Introduction; II. Background; III. The Model; IV. Data and Estimation; V. Conclusion; References; Appendix; Figures; A.1: M ali: Food Price and Consumer Price Indexes, 1988:1-2006:5; A.2: Mali: Annual Rate of Inflation, 1971-2005; A.3: Mali: Inflation and Rainfall, 1979:1-2006:1; A.4: Mali: Money, Income, Interest Rates and Exchange Rate, 1979:1-2006:1; A.5: Mali: Domestic and Foreign Prices, Exchange Rate and Terms of Trade, 1979:1-2006:1; A.6: Mali: Cointegrating Vectors for the Money Market and the Foreign Sectors, 1982:2-2006:1

A.7. Mali: Inflation Model: Recursive Estimates, 1992:2-2006:1A.8. Mali: Inflation Model: One-Step Residual and Chow Stability Tests, 1992:2-2006:1; A.9. Mali: Inflation Model: Actual, Predicted and Residual, 1987:2-2006:1; Tables; A.1: Mali: Selected Financial, Economic, and climatic indicators, 1979-2005; A.2: Mali: A Sample Descriptive Statistics of Variables, 1979:1-2006:1; A.3: Mali: Correlation Between Selected Variables, 1979:1-2006:1; A.4: Mali: ADF Test for Unit-Root, 1979:1-2006:1; A.5: Mali: Cointegration Analysis of the Broad Money Demand, 1979:1-2006:1

A.6. Mali: The Determinants of Inflation, 1987:2-2006:1A.7. Mali: Diagnostic Tests for Omitted Variables, 1987:2-2006:1

Sommario/riassunto

This paper investigates how consumer price inflation is determined in Mali for 1979-2006 along three macroeconomic explanations: (1) monetarist theories, emphasizing the impact of excess money supply, (2) the structuralist hypothesis, stressing the impact of supply-side constraints, and (3) external theories, describing the effects of foreign transmission mechanisms on a small open economy. The analysis makes use of cointegration techniques and general-to-specific modeling. Average national rainfall, and to a lesser extent deviations from monetary and external sector equilibrium are found to be the main long-run determinants of inflation. The paper offers policy recommendations for controlling inflation in Mali.