1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910955023003321

Autore

Chan-Lau Jorge

Titolo

Market-Based Estimation of Default Probabilities and its Application to Financial Market Surveillance / / Jorge Chan-Lau

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2006

ISBN

9786613827944

9781462375035

1462375030

9781452793535

1452793530

9781283515498

1283515490

9781451908985

1451908989

Edizione

[1st ed.]

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (19 p.)

Collana

IMF Working Papers

Soggetti

Default (Finance)

Risk management

Asset and liability management

Asset prices

Asset valuation

Asset-liability management

Bonds

Credit default swap

Credit

Deflation

Finance

Financial institutions

Financial Instruments

Financial Risk Management

General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data)

Inflation

Institutional Investors

International Financial Markets

Investment & securities

Investments: Bonds

Investments: Stocks

Macroeconomics



Monetary economics

Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General

Money and Monetary Policy

Money

Non-bank Financial Institutions

Pension Funds

Price Level

Prices

Stocks

United States

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

"April 2006."

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references.

Nota di contenuto

""Contents""; ""I. MARKET-BASED DEFAULT PROBABILITIES AND FINANCIAL SURVEILLANCE""; ""II. CREDIT DEFAULT SWAPS""; ""III. BONDS""; ""IV. EQUITY PRICES""; ""V. FROM RISK-NEUTRAL PROBABILITIES TO REAL-WORLD PROBABILITIES""; ""VI. CONCLUSIONS""; ""REFERENCES""

Sommario/riassunto

This paper reviews a number of different techniques for estimating default probabilities from the prices of publicly traded securities. These techniques are useful for assessing credit exposure, systemic risk, and stress testing financial systems. The choice of techniques was guided by their ease of implementation and their applicability to a wide cross-section of countries and markets. Simple one-period cases are studied to sharpen the reader's intuition, and the usefulness of each technique for enhancing financial surveillance is illustrated with real applications.