1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910874660303321

Autore

Rossello Damiano

Titolo

A Cookbook with Probability One : With Financial Applications / / by Damiano Rossello

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Cham : , : Springer Nature Switzerland : , : Imprint : Springer, , 2024

ISBN

9783031546884

9783031546877

Edizione

[1st ed. 2024.]

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (401 pages)

Collana

La Matematica per il 3+2, , 2038-5757 ; ; 161

Disciplina

519.2

Soggetti

Probabilities

Statistics

Probability Theory

Statistical Theory and Methods

Probabilitats

Estadística econòmica

Llibres electrònics

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Nota di contenuto

1 Probability, Events and Random Variables -- 2 Distribution of Random Variables -- 3 Multidimensional Random Variables -- 4 Moments and the Alike -- 5 Special Distributions -- 6 Conditioning -- 7 Regression, Prediction and more Dependence -- 8 Convergence Concepts -- 9 Introduction to Stochastic Processes -- 10 Introduction to Market Risk Measures.

Sommario/riassunto

This book offers accessible probabilistic modelling of relevant financial problems. It is divided into two parts. The first part (cookbook) is written by emphasizing the key definitions and theorems without wasting too much of the reader with unnecessary technical details. Here, the first kind of target audience is graduate students in Economics with no prior exposition to probability theory (except for undergraduate courses in Applied Statistics) which are provided by a self-contained account of probabilistic modelling mainly applied to finance. The fundamental concepts of random variable/vector and probability distributions are introduced beforehand with respect to the



usual treatment of this subject in standard probability textbook, trying to strike a balance between precise mathematical definitions and their applied knowledge. All the analytic tools developed are illustrated through examples of probability distributions of future stock prices, returns and profit and loss, together with their main characteristics, such as moments, moment generating and characteristic functions, location-scale families, and quantiles. The extension to the multivariate case for fixed time horizons is presented, together with the fundamentals of stochastic processes both in discrete and continuous time as candidate models for asset prices and return dynamics. Convergence concepts are presented as applied to the problem of point estimation of means, variances, correlation coefficients and risk measures. Short sections on risk and copula functions, further illustrate the potential application of probability models to financial problems. The second part of the book can be accessed by those students with more mathematical preparation. All the relevant proofs of results which are only stated in the first part and some advanced exercises with complete solutions are presented. .