Dilemmas of victory [[electronic resource] ] : the early years of the People's Republic of China / / edited by Jeremy Brown, Paul G. Pickowicz

• Record Nr.: UNINA9910462800403321
• Pubbl/distr/stampa: Cambridge, Mass., : Harvard University Press, 2007
• ISBN: 0-674-72522-0; 0-674-03365-5
• Descrizione fisica: 1 online resource (480 p.)
• Classificazione: NQ 9030
• Altri autori (Persone): BrownJeremy <1976->; PickowiczPaul
• Disciplina: 951.05/5
• Soggetti: HISTORY / Asia / China; Electronic books.; China History 1949-1976
• Lingua di pubblicazione: Inglese
• Formato: Materiale a stampa
• Livello bibliografico: Monografia
• Note generali: Description based upon print version of record.
• Nota di bibliografia: Includes bibliographical references (p. [387]-443) and index.
• Nota di contenuto: The early years of the People's Republic of China : an introduction / Jeremy Brown and Paul G. Pickowicz -- ; pt. I : Urban takeover -- "Clean-up" : the new order in Shanghai / Frederic Wakeman, Jr. -- Masters of the country? Shanghai workers in the early People's Republic / Elizabeth J. Perry -- New democracy and the demise of private charity in Shanghai / Nara Dillon -- ; pt. II : Occupying the periphery -- From resisting communists to resisting America : civil war and Korean war in southwest China, 1950-51 / Jeremy Brown -- The Chinese communist "liberation" of Tibet, 1949-51 / Chen Jian -- Big brother is watching : local Sino-Soviet relations and the building of new Dalian, 1945-55 / Christian Hess -- The call of the oases : the "peaceful liberation" of Xinjiang, 1949-53 / James Z. Gao -- ; pt. III : The culture of accommodation -- The crocodile bird : Xiangsheng in the early 1950s / Perry Link -- "The very first lesson" : teaching about human evolution in early 1950s China / Sigrid Schmalzer -- Acting like revolutionaries : Shi Hui, the Wenhua studio, and private-sector filmmaking, 1949-52 / Paul G. Pickowicz -- Creating "New China's first new-style regular university," 1949-50 / Douglas A. Stiffler -- ; pt. IV : Family strategies ; -- The Ye family in New China / Joseph W. Esherick -- Birthing stories : rural midwives in 1950s China / Gail Hershatter -- Capitalists choosing communist China : the Liu family of Shanghai, 1948-56 / Sherman Cochran.
• Sommario/riassunto: This illuminating work examines the social, cultural, political, and economic dimensions of the Communist takeover of China. Instead of dwelling on elite politics and policy-making processes, Dilemmas of Victory seeks to understand how the 1949-1953 period was experienced by various groups, including industrialists, filmmakers, ethnic minorities, educators, rural midwives, philanthropists, stand-up comics, and scientists. A stellar group of authors that includes Frederic Wakeman, Elizabeth Perry, Sherman Cochran, Perry Link, Joseph Esherick, and Chen Jian shows that the Communists sometimes achieved a remarkably smooth takeover, yet at other times appeared shockingly incompetent. Shanghai and Beijing experienced it in ways that differed dramatically from Xinjiang, Tibet, and Dalian. Out of necessity, the new regime often showed restraint and flexibility, courting the influential and educated. Furthermore, many policies of the old Nationalist regime were quietly embraced by the new Communist rulers. Based on previously unseen archival documents as well as oral histories, these lively, readable essays provide the fullest picture to date of the early years of the People's Republic, which were far more pluralistic, diverse, and hopeful than the Maoist decades that followed.

Reliability and risk [[electronic resource] ] : a Bayesian perspective / / Nozer D. Singpurwalla

• Record Nr.: UNINA9910830093303321
• Autore: Singpurwalla Nozer D
• Pubbl/distr/stampa: Chichester, West Sussex, England ; ; New York, : J. Wiley & Sons, c2006
• ISBN: 1-280-64916-X; 9786610649167; 0-470-06034-4; 0-470-06033-6
• Descrizione fisica: 1 online resource (398 p.)
• Collana: Wiley series in probability and statistics
• Classificazione: 31.73
• Disciplina: 620.001/51; 620.00151
• Soggetti: Reliability (Engineering) - Mathematical models; Risk management - Mathematical models; Bayesian statistical decision theory
• Lingua di pubblicazione: Inglese
• Formato: Materiale a stampa
• Livello bibliografico: Monografia
• Note generali: Description based upon print version of record.
• Nota di bibliografia: Includes bibliographical references (p. [349]-363) and index.
• Nota di contenuto: Reliability and Risk; Contents; Preface; Acknowledgements; 1 Introduction and Overview; 1.1 Preamble: What do 'Reliability', 'Risk' and 'Robustness' Mean?; 1.2 Objectives and Prospective Readership; 1.3 Reliability, Risk and Survival: State-of-the-Art; 1.4 Risk Management: A Motivation for Risk Analysis; 1.5 Books on Reliability, Risk and Survival Analysis; 1.6 Overview of the Book; 2 The Quantification of Uncertainty; 2.1 Uncertain Quantities and Uncertain Events: Their Definition and Codification; 2.2 Probability: A Satisfactory Way to Quantify Uncertainty; 2.2.1 The Rules of Probability; 2.2.2 Justifying the Rules of Probability2.3 Overview of the Different Interpretations of Probability; 2.3.1 A Brief History of Probability; 2.3.2 The Different Kinds of Probability; 2.4 Extending the Rules of Probability: Law of Total Probability and Bayes' Law; 2.4.1 Marginalization; 2.4.2 The Law of Total Probability; 2.4.3 Bayes' Law: The Incorporation of Evidence and the Likelihood; 2.5 The Bayesian Paradigm: A Prescription for Reliability, Risk and Survival Analysis; 2.6 Probability Models, Parameters, Inference and Prediction; 2.6.1 The Genesis of Probability Models and Their Parameters2.6.2 Statistical Inference and Probabilistic Prediction; 2.7 Testing Hypotheses: Posterior Odds and Bayes Factors; 2.7.1 Bayes Factors: Weight of Evidence and Change in Odds; 2.7.2 Uses of the Bayes Factor; 2.7.3 Alternatives to Bayes Factors; 2.8 Utility as Probability and Maximization of Expected Utility; 2.8.1 Utility as a Probability; 2.8.2 Maximization of Expected Utility; 2.8.3 Attitudes to Risk: The Utility of Money; 2.9 Decision Trees and Influence Diagrams for Risk Analysis; 2.9.1 The Decision Tree; 2.9.2 The Influence Diagram3 Exchangeability and Indifference; 3.1 Introduction to Exchangeability: de Finetti's Theorem; 3.1.1 Motivation for the Judgment of Exchangeability; 3.1.2 Relationship between Independence and Exchangeability; 3.1.3 de Finetti's Representation Theorem for Zero-one Exchangeable Sequences; 3.1.4 Exchangeable Sequences and the Law of Large Numbers; 3.2 de Finetti-style Theorems for Infinite Sequences of Non-binary Random Quantities; 3.2.1 Sufficiency and Indifference in Zero-one Exchangeable Sequences; 3.2.2 Invariance Conditions Leading to Mixtures of Other Distributions3.3 Error Bounds on de Finetti-style Results for Finite Sequences of Random Quantities; 3.3.1 Bounds for Finitely Extendable Zero-one Random Quantities; 3.3.2 Bounds for Finitely Extendable Non-binary Random Quantities; 4 Stochastic Models of Failure; 4.1 Introduction; 4.2 Preliminaries: Univariate, Multivariate and Multi-indexed Distribution Functions; 4.3 The Predictive Failure Rate Function of a Univariate Probability Distribution; 4.3.1 The Case of Discontinuity; 4.4 Interpretation and Uses of the Failure Rate Function - the Model Failure Rate
• Sommario/riassunto: We all like to know how reliable and how risky certain situations are, and our increasing reliance on technology has led to the need for more precise assessments than ever before. Such precision has resulted in efforts both to sharpen the notions of risk and reliability, and to quantify them. Quantification is required for normative decision-making, especially decisions pertaining to our safety and wellbeing. Increasingly in recent years Bayesian methods have become key to such quantifications. Reliability and Risk provides a comprehensive overview of the mathematical and statistical