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Record Nr. |
UNINA9910828559103321 |
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Autore |
Sun Yan |
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Titolo |
ECCU Business Cycles : : Impact of the U.S. / / Yan Sun, Wendell Samuel |
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Pubbl/distr/stampa |
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Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009 |
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ISBN |
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1-4623-1642-5 |
1-4527-3796-7 |
9786612842924 |
1-4518-7218-6 |
1-282-84292-7 |
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Edizione |
[1st ed.] |
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Descrizione fisica |
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1 online resource (25 p.) |
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Collana |
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Altri autori (Persone) |
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Disciplina |
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Soggetti |
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Business cycles - United States |
Economics - United States |
Econometrics |
Exports and Imports |
Macroeconomics |
Business Fluctuations |
Cycles |
Economic Growth of Open Economies |
Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: General (includes Measurement and Data) |
Time-Series Models |
Dynamic Quantile Regressions |
Dynamic Treatment Effect Models |
Diffusion Processes |
Externalities |
Commodity Markets |
Remittances |
Economic growth |
Econometrics & economic statistics |
International economics |
Business cycles |
Vector autoregression |
Spillovers |
Commodity prices |
Econometric analysis |
Financial sector policy and analysis |
Prices |
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Balance of payments |
International finance |
United States |
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Lingua di pubblicazione |
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Formato |
Materiale a stampa |
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Livello bibliografico |
Monografia |
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Note generali |
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Description based upon print version of record. |
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Nota di bibliografia |
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Includes bibliographical references. |
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Nota di contenuto |
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Contents; I. Introduction; II. Business Cycles and Spillovers; A. Analysis of Business Cycles in the Caribbean; B. Common Trend and Cycle Analysis; C. Transmission of U.S. Shocks to the Caribbean; III. Econometric Methodology and Data; A. The Common Trends and Common Cycles Approach; B. The VAR Analysis; C. The Data; IV. Empirical Results; Tables; 1. Summary Statistics of Real GDP Growth; A. Caribbean Common Trends and Common Cycles; 2. VAR Lag Order Selection; 3. Tests for the Number of Cointegrating Vectors; 4. Growth Elasticities in the Caribbean; B. Spillovers from the U.S. to the ECCU |
5. Diagnostics of Growth Elasticity ModelsV. Conclusions and Policy Implications; Figures; 1. Three Common Cycles; 2. Four Common Trends; 3. Caribbean Countries: Cyclical Components of Real GDP; 4. Caribbean Countries: Trend Components of Real GDP; 5. ECCU: Responses to One Percent U.S. Growth Shock; 6. ECCU: Country Responses to One Percent U.S. Growth Shock; 7. Antigua and Barbuda: Responses to One Percent U.S. Growth Shock; References |
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Sommario/riassunto |
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With a fixed peg to the U.S. dollar for more than three decades, the tourism-dependent Eastern Caribbean Currency Union (ECCU) countries share a close economic relationship with the U.S. This paper analyzes the impact of the United States on ECCU business cycles and identifies possible transmission channels. Using two different approaches (the common trends and common cycles approach of Vahid and Engle (1993) and the standard VAR analysis), it finds that the ECCU economies are very sensitive to both temporary and permanent movements in the U.S. economy and that such linkages have strengthened over time. There is, however, less clear-cut evidence on the transmission channels. United States monetary policy does not appear to be an important channel of influence, while tourism is important for only one ECCU country. |
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