1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910826451403321

Autore

Morsy Hanan

Titolo

Current account determinants for oil-exporting countries / / prepared by Hanan Morsy

Pubbl/distr/stampa

[Washington, DC], : International Monetary Fund, Middle East and Central Asia Dept., c2009

ISBN

1-4623-9715-8

1-4527-0568-2

9786612842504

1-4518-7175-9

1-282-84250-1

Edizione

[1st ed.]

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (15 p.)

Collana

IMF working paper ; ; WP/09/28

Disciplina

339.378

Soggetti

Balance of payments - Econometric models

Petroleum industry and trade - Econometric models

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

"February 2009."

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references.

Nota di contenuto

Contents; I. Introduction; II. Methodology and Variable Definitions; III. Estimation Results; Text Tables; 1. Current Account Regressions; IV. Sensitivity Analysis; 2. Robustness of Current Account Regressions Using GMM; V. Conclusion; References

Sommario/riassunto

The paper aims at characterizing the main determinants of the medium-term current account balance for oil-exporting countries using dynamic panel estimation techniques. Previous studies included a very limited number of oil-exporting countries in their samples, raising concerns about the applicability of the estimated coefficients for oil countries. Furthermore, current approaches are not specifically tailored to oil-producing countries because they fail to capture the effects of oil wealth and the degree of maturity in oil production. This paper explores the underlying determinants of the current account balance for a large sample of oilexporting countries, and extends the specifications commonly used in the literature to include an oil wealth variable, as well as a proxy for the degree of maturity in oil production. The paper therefore contributes to the existing literature both in terms



of the sample studied as well as the variables considered. The results reveal that factors that matter in determining the equilibrium current account balance of oil-exporting counties are the fiscal balance, the oil balance, oil wealth, age dependency, and the degree of maturity in oil production.