1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910822280103321

Autore

Keuzenkamp Hugo A.

Titolo

Probability, econometrics and truth : the methodology of econometrics / / Hugo A. Keuzenkamp [[electronic resource]]

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Cambridge : , : Cambridge University Press, , 2000

ISBN

1-107-11285-0

1-280-15196-X

0-511-11632-2

0-511-01579-8

0-511-15602-2

0-511-32902-4

0-511-49330-4

0-511-05330-4

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (ix, 312 pages) : digital, PDF file(s)

Disciplina

330/.01/5195

Soggetti

Econometrics

Probabilities

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

Title from publisher's bibliographic system (viewed on 05 Oct 2015).

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references (p. 281-298) and index.

Nota di contenuto

The philosophy of induction -- Probability and indifference -- Intermezzo: a formal scheme of reference.

Sommario/riassunto

When John Maynard Keynes likened Jan Tinbergen's early work in econometrics to black magic and alchemy, he was expressing a widely held view of a new discipline. However, even after half a century of practical work and theorizing by some of the most accomplished social scientists, Keynes' comments are still repeated today. This book assesses the foundations and development of econometrics and sets out a basis for the reconstruction of the foundations of econometric inference by examining the various interpretations of probability theory which underlie econometrics. Keuzenkamp claims that the probabilistic foundations of econometrics are weak, and although econometric inferences may yield interesting knowledge, claims to be able to falsify or verify economic theories are unwarranted. Methodological



falsificationism in econometrics is an illusion. Instead, it is argued, econometrics should locate itself in the tradition of positivism.