1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910821972003321

Titolo

Mexico : : Selected Issues

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2014

ISBN

1-4843-1312-7

1-4983-9587-2

Edizione

[1st ed.]

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (67 p.)

Collana

IMF Staff Country Reports

Disciplina

330.90511

Soggetti

Global Financial Crisis, 2008-2009

Financial crises - Mexico

Economic development - Mexico

Investments: Energy

Investments: Bonds

Industries: Energy

Industries: Manufacturing

Industries: Financial Services

General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data)

Hydrocarbon Resources

Pension Funds

Non-bank Financial Institutions

Financial Instruments

Institutional Investors

Electric Utilities

Industry Studies: Manufacturing: General

Investment & securities

Petroleum, oil & gas industries

Finance

Manufacturing industries

International economics

Natural gas sector

Mutual funds

Bond yields

Sovereign bonds

Electricity

Economic sectors

Financial institutions

Commodities

Bonds



Gas industry

Electric utilities

Mexico

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

Description based upon print version of record.

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references.

Nota di contenuto

Cover; Contents; THE IMPACT OF MEXICO'S ENERGY REFORM ON HYDROCARBONS PRODUCTION; A. Current Challenges in the Energy Industry; B. Most Significant Reform Effort in 75 Years; C. Impact on Energy Production; D. Resource Blessed; E. How Long Does it Take?; F. Production Scenarios; FIGURES; 1. Illustrative Baseline Scenarios; 2. Illustrative Downside Scenarios; G. How Much Investment and FDI?; H. Natural Gas Imports and Transport; I. Electricity Reform; J. Conclusion; References; MADE IN MEXICO: THE ENERGY REFORM AND MANUFACTURING OUTPUT; A. Introduction

B. The Mexican Manufacturing Sector Since NAFTAC. The Energy Reform: How Much of a Boost for Mexican Manufacturing?; D. Are There Additional Indirect Effects Through Spillovers?; E. Concluding Remarks and Policy Implications; References; TABLES; 1. Energy Consumption (in Petajoules) of the Industrial Sector; 2. Estimates of Elasticities of Manufacturing Output to Energy Prices; 3. Estimates of Elasticities When Energy Inputs Enter Separately; 4. Differential Effects Across Subsectors; APPENDIX; I. Panel VAR model; APPENDIX FIGURES

1. Impulse Response Functions to a Rise in Electricity Prices with Subsector Spillovers 2. Impulse Response Functions to a Rise in Electricity Prices with Regional Spillovers; CAPITAL FLOW VOLATILITY AND INVESTOR BEHAVIOUR IN MEXICO; A. Introduction; B. Recent Episodes of Extreme Capital Movements in Mexico; FIGURES; 1. Mexico: Extreme Capital Flow Episodes; C. Behavior of Foreign and Domestic Mutual Funds in Mexico; 2. Evidence of Herding (net sellers as a percent of total funds); 3. Evidence of Herding (based on the herding index)

D. Does Foreign Participation Amplify External Shock? A Time-Series Analysis of Mexican Sovereign Bond Market E. Concluding Remarks; BOXES; 1. OLS and Multivariate GARCH Models; 2. Data on Foreign Mutual Funds; TABLES; 1a. Bond Funds: Evidence of Positive Feedback Trading Behavior; 1b. Equity Funds: Evidence of Positive Feedback Trading Behavior; 2a. Robustness Check (1)-Using a Longer Sample for Foreign Mutual Funds; 2b. Robustness Check (2)-Using Dollar-Denominated Return on the 3-month Government Bonds; 3a. OLS Regression Results (VIX Shock); 3b. OLS Regression Results (U.S. Tapering Shock)

4a. Multivariate GARCH Results (VIX Shock)4b. Multivariate GARCH Results (U.S. Tapering Shock); References

Sommario/riassunto

This Selected Issues paper analyzes the impact of Mexico’s energy reform on hydrocarbons production. These reforms aim to increase oil and gas production by eliminating the state oil company’s (PEMEX) monopoly on exploration and production of hydrocarbons, while retaining the prime directive that these resources are the property of the Mexican nation. This paper focuses on the nature of reforms and what problems these reforms are addressing. It presents illustrative production scenarios for crude oil and natural gas and estimates the



commensurate investment costs and foreign direct investment associated with each scenario. The paper also examines the markets for the distribution of natural gas and electricity.