1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910819925003321

Autore

Coker Christopher

Titolo

The improbable war : China, the United States and the logic of great power conflict / / Christopher Coker

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Oxford, [England] ; ; New York, New York : , : Oxford University Press, , 2015

©2015

ISBN

0-19-025759-8

0-19-025731-8

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (230 p.)

Disciplina

355.02

Soggetti

War

United States Foreign relations China

China Foreign relations United States

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

Bibliographic Level Mode of Issuance: Monograph

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references and index.

Nota di contenuto

Introduction -- 1. Historical Analogies and the Logic of History -- 2. Dominant Conflicts and the Logic of Great Power Conflict -- 3. Strategic Narratives and the Logic of Strategy -- 4. War (and its Protean Logic) -- 5. Conclusion -- Bibliography -- Index

Sommario/riassunto

The Improbable War explains why conflict between the USA and China cannot be ruled out. In 1914 war between the Great Powers was considered unlikely, yet it happened. We learn only from history, and popular though the First World War analogy is, the lessons we draw from its outbreak are usually mistaken. Among these errors is the tendency to over-estimate human rationality. All major conflicts of the past 300 years have been about the norms and rules of the international system. In China and the US the world confronts two'exceptional'powers whose values differ markedly, with China bidding to challenge the current order. The'Thucydidean Trap'- when a conservative status quo power confronts a rising new one - may also play its part in precipitating hostilities. To avoid stumbling into an avoidable war both Beijing and Washington need a coherent strategy, which neither of them has. History also reveals that war evolves



continually. The next global conflict is likely to be played out in cyberspace and outer space and like all previous wars it will have devastating consequences. Such a war between the United States and China may seem improbable, but it is all too possible, which is why we need to discuss it now.