1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910818984203321

Autore

Yackovlev Irene

Titolo

Cyclical Patterns of Government Expenditures in Sub-Saharan Africa : : Facts and Factors / / Irene Yackovlev, Victor Lledo, Lucie Gadenne

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009

ISBN

1-4623-3658-2

1-282-84461-X

1-4518-7419-7

1-4527-6922-2

9786612844614

Edizione

[1st ed.]

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (53 p.)

Collana

IMF Working Papers

Altri autori (Persone)

GadenneLucie

LledoVictor

Disciplina

338.28394

Soggetti

Fiscal policy - Africa, Sub-Saharan

Finance, Public - Africa, Sub-Saharan

Debt Management

Debt

Debts, Public

Expenditure

Expenditures, Public

Finance

Finance: General

Financial risk management

Fiscal Policy

Fiscal policy

Fiscal space

General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation

Macroeconomics

National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General

Procyclicality

Public debt

Public finance & taxation

Public Finance

Sovereign Debt

Africa, Sub-Saharan Economic policy

South Africa



Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

"November 2009."

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references.

Nota di contenuto

Cover Page; Title Page; Copyright Page; Contents; I. Introduction; 1. Evolution of the fiscal balance in sub-Saharan Africa, current and past cycles; 1. Number of sub-Saharan African countries satisfying various macroeconomic performance and institutional quality criterial by decade; II. Literature Review; III. Empirical Strategy; A. Empirical Model and Identification; B. Data, Measurement, and Specification; IV. Results; A. Key Facts; 2. Cyclical properties of government spending, 1970-2008; 3. Robustness checks, system-GMM estimates and additional controls

4. Cyclical properties of government spending by decade B. Factors; 5. Political factors, impact on procyclicality, 1970-2008; 6. Financing constraints, impact on procyclicality, 1970-2008; 7. Macroeconomic stability and fiscal space, impact on procyclicality, 1970-2008; 8. How can we explain the evolution of procyclicality over time in sub-Saharan Africa?; V. Conclusions and Policy Implications; Appendix; References; Footnotes

Sommario/riassunto

This paper documents cyclical patterns of government expenditures in sub-Saharan Africa since 1970 and explains variation between countries and over time. Controlling for endogeneity, it finds government expenditures to be slightly more procyclical in sub-Saharan Africa than in other developing countries and some evidence that procyclicality in Africa has declined in recent years after a period of sharp increase through the 1990s. Greater fiscal space, proxied by lower external debt, and better access to concessional financing, proxied by larger aid flows, seem to be important factors in diminishing procyclicality in the region. The role of institutions is less clear cut: changes in political institutions have no impact on procyclicality.