1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910813824003321

Autore

Laxton Douglas

Titolo

Practical Model-Based Monetary Policy Analysis : : A How-To Guide / / Douglas Laxton, Andrew Berg, Philippe Karam

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2006

ISBN

1-4623-7201-5

1-4527-9051-5

1-282-54536-1

1-4519-0876-8

9786613822123

Edizione

[1st ed.]

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (69 p.)

Collana

IMF Working Papers

Altri autori (Persone)

BergAndrew

KaramPhilippe

Soggetti

Economic forecasting

Monetary policy

Computational Techniques

Currency

Deflation

Economic theory

Energy: Demand and Supply

Exchange rates

Foreign Exchange

Foreign exchange

Inflation

Macroeconomics

Macroeconomics: Production

Model Construction and Estimation

Monetary Policy

Money and Interest Rates: Forecasting and Simulation

Oil prices

Output gap

Price Level

Prices

Production and Operations Management

Production

Real exchange rates

United States



Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

"March 2006."

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references.

Nota di contenuto

""Contents""; ""I. INTRODUCTION""; ""II. THE MODEL""; ""III. BUILDING THE MODEL""; ""IV. FORECASTING AND POLICY ANALYSIS""; ""V. AN EXAMPLE""; ""VI. CONCLUSIONS""; ""REFERENCES""

Sommario/riassunto

This paper provides a how-to guide to model-based forecasting and monetary policy analysis. It describes a simple structural model, along the lines of those in use in a number of central banks. This workhorse model consists of an aggregate demand (or IS) curve, a price-setting (or Phillips) curve, a version of the uncovered interest parity condition, and a monetary policy reaction function. The paper discusses how to parameterize the model and use it for forecasting and policy analysis, illustrating with an application to Canada. It also introduces a set of useful software tools for conducting a model-consistent forecast.