1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910811621903321

Autore

Alper Emre

Titolo

Pricing of Sovereign Credit Risk : : Evidence From Advanced Economies During the Financial Crisis / / Emre Alper, Lorenzo Forni, Marc Gerard

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2012

ISBN

1-4639-6592-3

1-4639-3377-0

1-4639-3836-5

Edizione

[1st ed.]

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (29 p.)

Collana

IMF Working Papers

Altri autori (Persone)

ForniLorenzo

GerardMarc

Disciplina

332.1;332.152

Soggetti

Debts, External - Developed countries

Country risk - Developed countries

Global Financial Crisis, 2008-2009

Banks and Banking

Finance: General

Financial Risk Management

Investments: Bonds

Money and Monetary Policy

Fiscal Policy

Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects

Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General

General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data)

Financial Crises

Financing Policy

Financial Risk and Risk Management

Capital and Ownership Structure

Value of Firms

Goodwill

Monetary economics

Economic & financial crises & disasters

Investment & securities

Finance

Financial services law & regulation

Credit default swap

Financial crises

Sovereign bonds



Derivative markets

Credit risk

Money

Financial markets

Financial institutions

Financial regulation and supervision

Credit

Bonds

Derivative securities

Financial risk management

United States

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

Description based upon print version of record.

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references.

Nota di contenuto

Cover; Contents; I. Introduction; II. Dynamic Relationships between CDS and RAS Spreads; III. Determinants of CDS and RAS Spreads; IV. Concluding Remarks; Data Appendix; Figures; 1. CDS Gross Notional Outstanding Amounts as a Share of Total Public Debt: Selected Countries over the Period 2008-11; 2. CDS and RAS Spread Developments; 3. Expected one year ahead Primary Deficit and CDS/RAS Spreads - Large Advanced Economies; 4. Expected one year ahead Primary Deficit and CDS/RAS Spreads - Selected; Tables; 1. Panel and Individual Unit Root Test Results on the Basis (CDS-RAS)

2. Individual Cointegration Test and Error-correction Model Estimation Results for CDS and RAS Spreads3. CDS Spreads Regressions; 4. RAS Spreads Regressions; 5. CDS Spreads Regressions - Country Breakdown; 6. RAS Spreads Regressions--Country Breakdown; References

Sommario/riassunto

We investigate the pricing of sovereign credit risk over the period 2008-2010 for selected advanced economies by examining two widely-used indicators: sovereign credit default swap (CDS) and relative asset swap (RAS) spreads. Cointegration analysis suggests the existence of an imperfect market arbitrage relationship between the cash (RAS) and the derivatives (CDS) markets, with price discovery taking place in the latter. Likewise, panel regressions aimed at uncovering the fundamental drivers of the two indicators show that the CDS market, although less liquid, has provided a better signal for sovereign credit risk during the period of the recent financial crisis.