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Record Nr. |
UNINA9910811449203321 |
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Autore |
Avesano Renzo G |
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Titolo |
A new risk indicator and stress testing tool : a multifactor Nth-to-Default CDS basket / / prepared by Renzo G. Avesani, Antonio Garcia Pascal, and Jing Li |
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Pubbl/distr/stampa |
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[Washington, D.C.], : International Monetary Fund, c2006 |
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ISBN |
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1-4623-0541-5 |
1-4527-9151-1 |
1-283-51254-8 |
1-4519-0899-7 |
9786613824998 |
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Edizione |
[1st ed.] |
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Descrizione fisica |
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1 online resource (25 p.) |
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Collana |
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IMF working paper ; ; WP/06/105 |
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Altri autori (Persone) |
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PascalAntonio Garcia |
LiJing |
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Soggetti |
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Risk management |
Economic indicators |
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Lingua di pubblicazione |
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Formato |
Materiale a stampa |
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Livello bibliografico |
Monografia |
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Note generali |
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Nota di bibliografia |
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Includes bibliographical references. |
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Nota di contenuto |
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""Contents""; ""I. INTRODUCTION""; ""II. DESCRIPTION OF THE INDICATOR""; ""III. MODEL DESCRIPTION""; ""IV. DATA DESCRIPTION""; ""V. FACTOR ANALYSIS: ESTIMATION RESULTS""; ""VI. COMPUTATION OF THE PROBABILITIES OF DEFAULT""; ""VII. SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS""; ""VIII. STRESS TESTING""; ""IX. CONCLUDING REMARKS""; ""References"" |
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Sommario/riassunto |
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This paper generalizes a market-based indicator for financial sector surveillance using a multifactor latent structure in the determination of the default probabilities of an nth-todefault credit default swap (CDS) basket of large complex financial institutions (LCFIs). To estimate the multifactor latent structure, we link the market risk (the covariance of the LCFIs' equity) to credit risk (the default probability of the CDS basket) in a coherent manner. In addition, to analyze the response of the probabilities of default to changing macroeconomic conditions, we run a stress test by generating shocks to the latent multifactor structure. The results unveil a rich set of default probability dynamics and help in identifying the most relevant sources of risk. We anticipate |
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