1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910810968203321

Autore

Terrones Marco

Titolo

An Anatomy of Credit Booms : : Evidence From Macro Aggregates and Micro Data / / Marco Terrones, Enrique Mendoza

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2008

ISBN

1-4623-2753-2

1-282-84177-7

1-4518-7084-1

9786612841774

1-4527-1578-5

Edizione

[1st ed.]

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (52 pages) : illustrations (some color)

Collana

IMF Working Papers

IMF working paper ; ; WP/08/226

Altri autori (Persone)

MendozaEnrique

Disciplina

332.7

Soggetti

Credit - Econometric models

Business cycles - Econometric models

Exports and Imports

Financial Risk Management

Money and Monetary Policy

Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General

International Investment

Long-term Capital Movements

Financial Crises

Monetary economics

International economics

Economic & financial crises & disasters

Credit booms

Credit

Sudden stops

Financial crises

Capital inflows

Capital movements

Chile

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa



Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

Bibliographic Level Mode of Issuance: Monograph

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references.

Nota di contenuto

Intro -- Contents -- I. Introduction -- II. Credit Booms: Methodology and Key Features -- A. Methodology -- B. Credit Boom Episodes and Their Main Features -- C. Differences with the Method of Gourinchas, Valdes and Landerretche -- III. Credit Booms and Macroeconomic Dynamics -- A. Event Analysis -- B. Frequency Analysis -- IV. Credit Booms and Firm Level Data -- A. Firm-level Indicators -- B. Bank-level Indicators -- V. Conclusions -- Tables -- 1. Credit Booms: Duration -- 2. Coincidence of Credit Booms with Output and Demand Booms -- 3. Credit Booms: Statistical Significance of Event-Window Coefficients -- 4. Credit Booms: Regional Features -- 5. Credit Booms and Crises -- 6. Credit Booms: Potential Triggering Factors -- 7. Credit Booms and Exchange Rate Regimes -- Figures -- 1. Credit Booms: Seven-Year Event Windows -- 2. Relative Credit Booms -- 3. Frequent of Credit Booms -- 4. Credit Booms in Chile: The Mendoza-Terrones Method -- 5. Credit Booms in Chile: The Gourinchas, Valdes, and Landeretche (CVL) Method -- 6. Credit Booms in Chile: Expanding vs. Conventional Trend -- 7. Credit Booms and Economic Activity -- 8. Credit Booms and Domestic Demand -- 9. Credit Booms and The Non-Tradables Sector -- 10. Credit Booms, Current Account, and Capital Inflows -- 11. Credit Booms and Prices -- 12. Credit Booms: Corporate Leverage -- 13. Credit Booms: Tobin's Q, Interest Rate, and Profitability -- 14. Credit Booms: Corporate External Financing -- 15. Credit Booms: Financial Indicators -- 16. Credit Booms: Corporate Leverage and External Financing in Emerging Market Countries -- 17. Credit Booms: Bank Level Data Emerging Market Economies -- Appendix -- I. Sample of Countries -- II. Data Definitions and Sources -- III. The Gourinchas-Valdes-Landerretche Thresholds Method -- References.

Sommario/riassunto

We study the characteristics of credit booms in emerging and industrial economies. Macro data show a systematic relationship between credit booms and economic expansions, rising asset prices, real appreciations and widening external deficits. Micro data show a strong association between credit booms and leverage ratios, firm values, and banking fragility. We also find that credit booms are larger in emerging economies, particularly in the nontradables sector; most emerging markets crises are associated with credit booms; and credit booms in emerging economies are often preceded by large capital inflows but not by financial reforms or productivity gains.