1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910808872803321

Autore

Kim Se-Jik <1960->

Titolo

Managing confidence in emerging market bank runs / / prepared by Se-Jik Kim and Ashoka Mody

Pubbl/distr/stampa

[Washington, D.C.], : International Monetary Fund, European Dept., and Research Dept., 2004

ISBN

1-4623-4561-1

1-4527-9946-6

1-283-56128-X

9786613873736

1-4519-2028-8

Edizione

[1st ed.]

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (29 p.)

Collana

IMF working paper ; ; WP/04/235

Altri autori (Persone)

ModyAshoka

Soggetti

Bank failures - Developing countries - Econometric models

Liquidity (Economics) - Developing countries - Econometric models

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

"December 2004."

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references (p. 27-28).

Nota di contenuto

""Contents""; ""I. INTRODUCTION""; ""II. THE BASIC MODEL""; ""III. SIMULTANEOUS VERSUS SEQUENTIAL LIQUIDITY SHORTAGES""; ""IV. EARLY VERSUS LATE BAILOUTS""; ""V. POLITICAL ECONOMY""; ""VI. EXTENSIONS""; ""VII. CONCLUSIONS""; ""References""

Sommario/riassunto

In a rational-expectations framework, we model depositors' confidence as a function of the probability of future bank bailouts. We analyze the effect of alternative bank bailout policies on depositors' confidence in an emerging market setting, where liquidity shortages of banks are revealed sequentially and governments cannot credibly commit to bailing out all potentially distressed banks. Our findings suggest that allowing early bank failures and using available liquidity for credible commitments to later bailouts can better boost confidence than early bailouts. This conclusion arises because with a high chance of liquidity shortage in the future, depositors may lose confidence and hence withdraw deposits even from potentially sound banks. Such a policy of late bailouts is likely to receive political support when a full bailout needs to be financed by taxation. The logic of late bailout remains valid



even when banks may hide their distress or when closures of early distressed banks create contagion.