1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910807489903321

Autore

Mody Ashoka

Titolo

Breaking the Impediments to Budgetary Reforms : : Evidence from Europe / / Ashoka Mody, Stefania Fabrizio

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2008

ISBN

1-4623-9313-6

1-4527-4101-8

1-282-84043-6

1-4518-6943-6

9786612840432

Edizione

[1st ed.]

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (33 p.)

Collana

IMF Working Papers

IMF working paper ; ; WP/08/82

Altri autori (Persone)

FabrizioStefania

Disciplina

352.48

Soggetti

Budget process - Europe

Budget deficits - Europe

Balance of payments

Budget planning and preparation

Budget Systems

Budget

Budgeting & financial management

Budgeting

Current Account Adjustment

Current account deficits

Debt Management

Debt

Debts, Public

Deflation

Exports and Imports

Fiscal Policy

Fiscal policy

Fiscal stance

Government debt management

Inflation

International economics

Macroeconomics

National Budget

Price Level

Prices



Public finance & taxation

Public Finance

Short-term Capital Movements

Sovereign Debt

China, People's Republic of

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

Description based upon print version of record.

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references.

Nota di contenuto

Contents; I. Introduction; II. Data and Empirical Approach; III. The Setting: War of Attrition; IV. Economic Shocks and Crises; V. Credibility: Does It Take Nixon To Go To China?; VI. Conclusions; Appendices; I. Quality of Budget Institutions; Appendix Tables; 1. Construction of the Index: Fiscal Institutions and Their Index Parameters; 2. Index of Quality of Budget Institutions; 3. Fiscal Institutions' Quality Index; II. Definitions and Sources of Variables Used in Regression Analysis; Tables; 1. War of Attrition; 2. Political Constraints; 3. Economic Shocks; 4. Crises and Reforms

5. Credibility6. Model Predictions; Figures; 1. Average Value of Fiscal Institutions' Index, 1991-2004; 2. Quality of Fiscal Institutions' Index and Per Capita Income; 3. Fiscal Institutions' Index; 4. Interaction of Primary Balance and Fractionalization; 5. Nonlinear Effects in the Full Model; References

Sommario/riassunto

Under what conditions are budget institutions likely to be strengthened? We find that fiscal deficits do not help in focusing policymakers on undertaking reforms. To the contrary, the larger the deficit, the lower is the likelihood of reforms. Large deficits apparently imply strong claims on the budget and, hence, generate unwillingness to impose self-discipline. As such, countries will tend to move either to small fiscal deficits and good institutions or large deficits and weak institutions. Economic shocks (if they are large enough) can help build a constituency for improving budget institutions. However, if forgiving markets accommodate economic shocks, even such pressure may be insufficient. Forwardlooking and credible leadership appears to be an important ingredient of the solution.