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Record Nr. |
UNINA9910806983203321 |
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Autore |
Cline William R |
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Titolo |
The United States as a debtor nation / / William R. Cline |
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Pubbl/distr/stampa |
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Washington, DC, : Institute for International Economics, : Center for Global Development, 2005 |
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ISBN |
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1-281-06101-8 |
9786611061012 |
0-88132-468-X |
1-4356-0915-8 |
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Edizione |
[1st ed.] |
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Descrizione fisica |
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1 online resource (325 p.) |
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Disciplina |
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Soggetti |
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Debts, External - United States |
Balance of trade - United States |
Investments, American |
United States Commercial policy |
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Lingua di pubblicazione |
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Formato |
Materiale a stampa |
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Livello bibliografico |
Monografia |
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Note generali |
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Bibliographic Level Mode of Issuance: Monograph |
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Nota di bibliografia |
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Includes bibliographical references (p. 283-290) and index. |
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Nota di contenuto |
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Cover -- Contents -- Preface -- Acknowledgments -- Overview -- Chapter 1 The International Debt Cycle and the United States as an External Debtor -- The Debt Cycle -- Measuring the Net International Investment Position -- The Debt Cycle in Practice -- The Global Balance Sheet Discrepancy -- Debt Cycle Status and Growth Performance -- Appendix 1A Estimating the Net International Investment Position -- Chapter 2 Valuation Effects, Asymmetric Returns, and Economic Net Foreign Assets -- US Valuation Effects -- US Asymmetric Capital Returns -- Capital Services and Economic Versus Accounting Net Foreign Assets -- Alternative Measures: Cash Flow Versus Debt Burden -- Appendix 2A -- Chapter 3 Projecting the US Current Account Deficit and Net Foreign Assets -- A Simple Projection Model -- Calibration and Data -- Identifying the Exchange Rate Lag -- Backcast Performance -- Baseline Projections -- Comparison with Other Projections -- Adjustment Scenarios -- Impact Parameters -- Chapter 4 US Fiscal Imbalance and the External Deficit -- Understanding the Linkages -- From Fiscal Surplus to Deficit -- The Decline in Personal Saving -- |
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Fiscal Outlook for 2005-10 -- Long-Term Fiscal Problem -- General Equilibrium Framework -- Toward Fiscal and External Adjustment -- Appendix 4A A Simple General Equilibrium Model Relating the Trade and Fiscal Balances -- Chapter 5 Sustainability of the US Current Account Deficit and the Risk of Crisis -- US Share in Global Portfolios -- Debt Ratios and Critical Thresholds -- Hard Landing, Long-Term Burden, and Protectionist Pressures -- The Evolving Crisis Debate -- Appendix 5A Key Features of Leading Recent Analyses -- Chapter 6 Impact of the US External Imbalance on the Rest of the World -- Impact on Global Demand -- Impact on Interest Rates -- Emerging-Market Capital Supply and Current Account Performance. |
Developing-Country Reserves: Burden or Bonanza? -- East Asian Exchange Rate Rigidity -- Achieving Global Adjustment -- Appendix 6A Optimal Exchange Rate Realignment -- Appendix 6B Recent Alternative Profiles Proposed for Global Adjustment -- Chapter 7 Principal Findings and Policy Implications -- The International Debt Cycle -- Valuation Effects, Asymmetric Returns, and Economic Net Foreign Assets -- Forecasting the US Current Account Deficit and Net Foreign Assets -- The Role of Fiscal Adjustment -- Sustainability and Risks of the Current Account Deficit -- Global Impact of US External Imbalance -- Policy Implications -- References -- Index. |
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