1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910788525003321

Autore

Wiegand Johannes

Titolo

Fiscal Surveillance in a Petro Zone : : The Case of the CEMAC / / Johannes Wiegand

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2004

ISBN

1-4623-5615-X

1-4527-6241-4

1-281-08969-9

1-4518-9072-9

9786613775054

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (28 p.)

Collana

IMF Working Papers

Soggetti

Political Science

Law, Politics & Government

Public Finance

Investments: Energy

Macroeconomics

Taxation

Industries: Energy

National Deficit Surplus

Energy: Government Policy

Energy: General

Energy: Demand and Supply

Prices

Fiscal Policy

Business Taxes and Subsidies

Macroeconomics: Production

Investment & securities

Public finance & taxation

Petroleum, oil & gas industries

Oil

Oil prices

Fiscal stance

Oil, gas and mining taxes

Oil production

Commodities

Taxes

Fiscal policy



Production

Petroleum industry and trade

Equatorial Guinea, Republic of

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

Description based upon print version of record.

Nota di contenuto

""Contents""; ""I. INTRODUCTION""; ""II. METHODOLOGY""; ""A. Gap Analysis""; ""B. Sensitivity Analysis of the Market Value of Equity (MVE)""; ""C. Duration""; ""D. Value at Risk""; ""E. Issues in Estimating Interest Rate Risk Exposure of Banks""; ""F. Data Description""; ""III. RESULTS""; ""A. Cross Sectional Heterogeneity""; ""IV. CONCLUSIONS AND POLICY IMPLICATIONS""; ""References""

Sommario/riassunto

This paper discusses fiscal surveillance criteria for the countries of the Central African Monetary and Economic Union (CEMAC), most of which depend heavily on oil exports. At present, the CEMAC's macroeconomic surveillance exercise sets as fiscal target a floor on the basic budgetary balance. This appears inadequate, for at least two reasons. First, fluctuations in oil prices and, hence, oil receipts obscure the underlying fiscal stance. Second, oil resources are limited, which suggests that some of today's oil receipts should be saved to finance future consumption. The paper develops easy-to-calculate indicators that take both aspects into account. A retrospective analysis based on these alternative indicators reveals that in recent years, the CEMAC's surveillance exercise has tended to accommodate stances of fiscal policy that are at odds with sound management of oil wealth.