1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910788411803321

Autore

Mwase Nkunde

Titolo

An Empirical Investigation of the Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Inflation in Tanzania / / Nkunde Mwase

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2006

ISBN

1-4623-7200-7

1-4527-3904-8

1-283-36411-5

9786613823557

1-4527-0332-9

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (36 p.)

Collana

IMF Working Papers

Soggetti

Foreign exchange rates - Tanzania

Inflation (Finance) - Tanzania

Foreign Exchange

Inflation

Macroeconomics

Money and Monetary Policy

Price Level

Deflation

Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General

Currency

Foreign exchange

Monetary economics

Exchange rates

Exchange rate pass-through

Monetary base

Consumer price indexes

Prices

Money supply

Price indexes

Tanzania, United Republic of

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa



Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

"June 2006."

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references.

Nota di contenuto

""Contents""; ""I. INTRODUCTION""; ""II. MONEY, EXCHANGE RATES, AND INFLATION IN TANZANIA""; ""III. A SURVEY OF THE LITERATURE""; ""IV. THE MODELING STRATEGY""; ""V. EMPIRICAL RESULTS""; ""VI. FACTORS BEHIND THE LOW AND DECLINING EXCHANGE RATE PASS-THROUGH""; ""VII. CONCLUSION AND POLICY RECOMMENDATIONS""; ""DATA SOURCES AND ESTIMATION""; ""ROBUSTNESS TESTS""; ""References""

Sommario/riassunto

The paper examines the effect of exchange rate changes on consumer prices in Tanzania using structural vector autoregression (VAR) models. Using a data set covering the period 1990-2005, we find that the exchange rate pass-through to inflation declined in the late 1990s despite the depreciation of the currency. This could be partly attributed to the macroeconomic and structural reforms that were implemented during this period. The decline in the pass-through does not necessarily imply that exchange rate fluctuations are less significant in explaining macroeconomic fluctuations. The recent increase in the share of imports in the economy suggests that the pass-through could rise over the medium term. The findings imply that the authorities should remain vigilant in assessing the potential impact of foreign prices on the dynamics of inflation in Tanzania. In this regard, the authorities should seek to maintain low and stable inflation and continue the ongoing structural reforms designed to improve efficiency and increase competition.