1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910788405803321

Autore

Chan-Lau Jorge

Titolo

Market-Based Estimation of Default Probabilities and its Application to Financial Market Surveillance / / Jorge Chan-Lau

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2006

ISBN

1-4623-7503-0

1-4527-9353-0

1-283-51549-0

1-4519-0898-9

9786613827944

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (19 p.)

Collana

IMF Working Papers

Soggetti

Default (Finance)

Risk management

Financial Risk Management

Investments: Bonds

Investments: Stocks

Macroeconomics

Money and Monetary Policy

International Financial Markets

Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General

General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data)

Price Level

Inflation

Deflation

Pension Funds

Non-bank Financial Institutions

Financial Instruments

Institutional Investors

Monetary economics

Investment & securities

Finance

Credit default swap

Bonds

Asset prices

Stocks

Asset valuation



Money

Financial institutions

Prices

Asset and liability management

Credit

Asset-liability management

United States

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

"April 2006."

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references.

Nota di contenuto

""Contents""; ""I. MARKET-BASED DEFAULT PROBABILITIES AND FINANCIAL SURVEILLANCE""; ""II. CREDIT DEFAULT SWAPS""; ""III. BONDS""; ""IV. EQUITY PRICES""; ""V. FROM RISK-NEUTRAL PROBABILITIES TO REAL-WORLD PROBABILITIES""; ""VI. CONCLUSIONS""; ""REFERENCES""

Sommario/riassunto

This paper reviews a number of different techniques for estimating default probabilities from the prices of publicly traded securities. These techniques are useful for assessing credit exposure, systemic risk, and stress testing financial systems. The choice of techniques was guided by their ease of implementation and their applicability to a wide cross-section of countries and markets. Simple one-period cases are studied to sharpen the reader's intuition, and the usefulness of each technique for enhancing financial surveillance is illustrated with real applications.