1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910788401703321

Autore

Tressel Thierry

Titolo

Aid Volatility and Dutch Disease : : Is There a Role for Macroeconomic Policies? / / Thierry Tressel, Alessandro Prati

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2006

ISBN

1-4623-4375-9

1-4519-8935-0

1-283-51471-0

1-4527-0231-4

9786613827166

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (65 p.)

Collana

IMF Working Papers

Altri autori (Persone)

PratiAlessandro

Soggetti

Economic assistance - Econometric models

Economic policy - Econometric models

Banks and Banking

Exports and Imports

Foreign Exchange

Empirical Studies of Trade

Trade: General

Foreign Aid

Monetary Policy

International economics

Banking

Currency

Foreign exchange

Trade balance

Exports

Foreign aid

International reserves

Real exchange rates

Balance of trade

International relief

Foreign exchange reserves

United States

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese



Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

"June 2006."

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references (p. 59-63).

Nota di contenuto

""Contents""; ""I. INTRODUCTION""; ""II. THE MODEL""; ""III. PARTIAL AND GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM EFFECTS OF FOREIGN AID AND MACROECONOMIC POLICY""; ""IV. THE OPTIMAL TIMING OF AID AND MACROECONOMIC POLICY""; ""V. THE EFFECTIVENESS OF MACROECONOMIC POLICIES IN AID-RECEIVING COUNTRIES""; ""VI. CONCLUSIONS""; ""Appendix I. Solution Strategy""; ""Appendix II-a. Managed Float Regimes""; ""Appendix II-b. General Equilibrium Effect of Front-Loading Aid with LBD Externalities""; ""Appendix III. Pseudo First Stage of System GMM Panel Regressions""; ""REFERENCES""

Sommario/riassunto

This paper studies how macroeconomic policies can help offset two unintended and undesirable features of foreign aid: its volatility and Dutch disease. We present evidence that aid volatility augments trade balance volatility and that foreign aid, with the important exception of years of adverse shocks, depresses exports. We also find that these effects can be mitigated through changes in net domestic assets of the central bank-a variable that reflects both monetary and fiscal policy. To characterize the optimal policy, we develop a general equilibrium model in which the capital account is closed and aid influences productivity growth through positive (public expenditure) and negative (Dutch disease) externalities. In this setting, macroeconomic policies permanently affect real variables and can improve welfare if donors do not distribute foreign aid optimally over time.