1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910788348503321

Autore

Hunt Benjamin

Titolo

The Declining Importance of Tradable Goods Manufacturing in Australia and New Zealand : : How Much Can Growth Theory Explain? / / Benjamin Hunt

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009

ISBN

1-4623-1945-9

1-4527-4604-4

9786612842382

1-4518-7163-5

1-282-84238-2

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (17 p.)

Collana

IMF Working Papers

Soggetti

Economic development - Australia - Econometric models

Economic development - New Zealand - Econometric models

Investments: Commodities

Inflation

Production and Operations Management

Macroeconomics

Macroeconomics: Production

Economic Growth of Open Economies

Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: Forecasting and Simulation

Industrial Organization and Macroeconomics: Industrial Structure and Structural Change

Industrial Price Indices

Price Level

Deflation

Commodity Markets

Labor Economics: General

Investment & securities

Labour

income economics

Productivity

Commodities

Production

Prices

Labor

Industrial productivity



Commercial products

Labor economics

New Zealand

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

Description based upon print version of record.

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references.

Nota di contenuto

Contents; I. Introduction; II. An Overview of The Global Economic Model; A. Households; B. Firms; C. Government; D. Parameterization; III. The Stylized Facts; Figures; 1. Share of Tradable Goods Production in GDP; 2. Annual Labor Productivity Growth; IV. Simulation Results; A. Some Broad Features of the Simulation Results; Tables; 1. Average Annual Labor Productivity Growth 1995 to 2004; 3. Some Broad Macroeconomic Consequences of Unbalanced Growth; B. Effect of Unbalanced Growth on Tradables Production; C. Internal and External Contributions; 2. Change Over Ten Years in Share of GDP

V. Conclusions3: Simulated Changes Over Ten Years in Share of GDP; References; Appendixes; Appendix I. Calibration Details; Appendix Tables; 1: Key Steady-State Calibration Values; 2. Non-Commodity Tradables as Percent of GDP; 3. Production and Trade in Commodities as Shares of GDP; 4: Key Behavioral Parameter Values

Sommario/riassunto

In this paper, the IMF's new Global Economy Model (GEM) is used to estimate the contribution of unbalanced growth to the decline in the share of goods production in Australia and New Zealand. The simulation results suggest that faster productivity growth in the tradable goods sector in Australia, New Zealand, and their major trading partners accounts for a significant portion of the relative decline in the importance of goods production. Over the 1995 to 2004 period, unbalanced growth explains more than 80 percent of the decline in goods production in both countries.