1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910788347703321

Autore

Sgherri Silvia

Titolo

Regional Financial Spillovers Across Europe : : A Global VAR Analysis / / Silvia Sgherri, Alessandro Galesi

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009

ISBN

1-4623-7293-7

1-4527-9952-0

9786612842450

1-282-84245-5

1-4518-7170-8

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (34 p.)

Collana

IMF Working Papers

Altri autori (Persone)

GalesiAlessandro

Soggetti

Capital movements - Econometric models

Econometrics

Banks and Banking

Investments: Stocks

Money and Monetary Policy

Time-Series Models

Dynamic Quantile Regressions

Dynamic Treatment Effect Models

Diffusion Processes

State Space Models

General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation

Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: Forecasting and Simulation

Pension Funds

Non-bank Financial Institutions

Financial Instruments

Institutional Investors

Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects

Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General

Banks

Depository Institutions

Micro Finance Institutions

Mortgages

Econometrics & economic statistics

Investment & securities

Finance



Monetary economics

Banking

Vector autoregression

Stocks

Interbank rates

Credit

Econometric analysis

Financial institutions

Financial services

Money

Foreign banks

Interest rates

Banks and banking

Banks and banking, Foreign

United States

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

Description based upon print version of record.

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references.

Nota di contenuto

Contents; I. Introduction; II. The GVAR Model (1999-2008); A. Structure of the model; B. The data and properties of the series; III. Estimation; A. Conditions for the GVAR estimation; B. Estimation of the country-specific models; C. Testing for weak exogeneity; D. Impact Elasticities; IV. Dynamic Analysis; A. Generalized Impulse Response Functions; B. Generalized Forecast Error Variance Decompositions; V. Concluding Remarks; Figures; 1. Increasing Reliance of Emerging Europe on Foreign Bank Funding; 2. Concentration of Emerging Europe Exposure toWestern Europe

Sommario/riassunto

The recent financial crisis raises important issues about the transmission of financial shocks across borders. In this paper, a global vector autoregressive (GVAR) model is constructed to assess the relevance of international spillovers following a historical slowdown in U.S. equity prices. The GVAR model contains 27 country-specific models, including the United States, 17 European advanced economies, and 9 European emerging economies. Each country model is linked to the others by a set of country-specific foreign variables, computed using bilateral bank lending exposures. Results reveal considerable comovements of equity prices across mature financial markets. However, the effects on credit growth are found to be country-specific. Evidence indicates that asset prices are the main channel through which-in the short run-financial shocks are transmitted internationally, while the contribution of other variables-like the cost and quantity of credit-becomes more important over longer horizons.