1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910788340503321

Autore

Leigh Daniel

Titolo

The Second Transition : : Eastern Europe in Perspective / / Daniel Leigh, Stefania Fabrizio, Ashoka Mody

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009

ISBN

1-4623-7999-0

1-4527-9850-8

9786612842658

1-4518-7191-0

1-282-84265-X

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (35 p.)

Collana

IMF Working Papers

Altri autori (Persone)

FabrizioStefania

ModyAshoka

Soggetti

Economic development - Europe, Eastern

Economics - Europe, Eastern

Exports and Imports

Finance: General

Foreign Exchange

Macroeconomics

International Investment

Long-term Capital Movements

Economic Growth of Open Economies

Economic Development: Financial Markets

Saving and Capital Investment

Corporate Finance and Governance

Institutions and Growth

Economywide Country Studies: General

General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data)

Trade: General

Current Account Adjustment

Short-term Capital Movements

Aggregate Factor Income Distribution

International economics

Currency

Foreign exchange

Finance

Real exchange rates

Financial integration



Exports

Current account deficits

Income

Financial markets

International trade

Balance of payments

National accounts

International finance

Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, People's Republic of China

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

Description based upon print version of record.

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references.

Nota di contenuto

Contents; I. Introduction; Figures; 1(a). CEE GDP per capita as a percent of EU-15 GDP per capital, 1995-2007; 1(b). GDP per capita as a share of US GDP, major emerging market regions, 1995-2007; II. Openness and Institutions; 2(a). CEE Trade Openness Trends, 1995-2007; 2(b). CEE World Market Shares and Real Exchange Rate Trends, 1995-2007; 3. CEE Structural Transformation of Exports, 1994-2004; 4. CEE Trends in Financial Integration, 1995-2007; 5. CEE Trends in Institutional Strength, 1995-2007; 6. Average Value of Fiscal Institutions Index, 1991-2004

III. Emerging Market Regions in Perspective 7. Regional Trends in Trade and Financial Openness; 8. Regional Trends in Export Shares and Real Effective Exchange Rates, 1995-2007; IV. Growth Outcomes; A. Accelerations; 9. Current Account Trends, 1995-2007; 10. Regional Trends in Institutional Strengthening, 1995-2007; Box; 1. Growth Accelerations: Methodology and Data; Tables; 1. Growth Acceleration Episodes, by Region; 2. Frequency of Growth Accelerations, by Region; 3. Correlates of Growth Accelerations; B. Traditional Growth Analysis; V. Financial Turbulence: A Test of the Economic Model?

11. Financial Stress VI. Conclusions; References

Sommario/riassunto

The countries of Eastern Europe achieved two remarkable transitions in the short period of the last two decades: from plan to market and, then, in the run-up to and entry into the European Union, they rode a wave of global trade and financial market integration. Focusing on the second transition, this paper reaches three conclusions. First, by several metrics, East European and East Asian growth performances were about on par from the mid-1990s; both regions far surpassed Latin American growth. Second, the mechanisms of growth in East Europe and East Asia were, however, very different. East Europe relied on a distinctive-often discredited-model, embracing financial integration with structural change to compensate for appreciating real exchange rates. In contrast, East Asia contained further financial integration and maintained steady or depreciating real exchange rates. Third, the ongoing financial turbulence has, thus far, not had an obviously differential impact on emerging market regions: rather, the hot spots in each region reflect individual country vulnerabilities. If the East European growth model is distinctive, is it sustainable and replicable? The paper speculates on the possibilities.