1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910788333203321

Autore

Wu Ge

Titolo

Broad Money Demand and Asset Substitution in China / / Ge Wu

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009

ISBN

1-4623-0532-6

1-4527-5107-2

9786612843457

1-4518-7278-X

1-282-84345-1

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (32 p.)

Collana

IMF Working Papers

Soggetti

Demand for money - China

Assets (Accounting)

Banks and Banking

Finance: General

Foreign Exchange

Money and Monetary Policy

Demand for Money

Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects

General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data)

Monetary economics

Finance

Currency

Foreign exchange

Demand for money

Deposit rates

Capital markets

Exchange rates

Exchange rate arrangements

Money

Interest rates

Capital market

China, People's Republic of

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa



Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

Description based upon print version of record.

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references.

Nota di contenuto

Contents; I. Introduction; II. Recent Developments; Figures; 1. Actual and Targeted M2 Growth Rate, 1999-2007; 2. Renminbi Nominal Exchange Rate and REER, 1994-2008; 3. Currency Substitution and Expectation of Exchange Rate, 2003-07; 4. Number of Investor Accounts and Listed Securities on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, 1996-2008; III. A Model of Money Demand in China; A. Earlier Studies; 5. Household Holdings of Financial Assets, 2001-07; B. Model Specification; C. Integration and Cointegration Tests; Tables; 1. Unit Root Tests (ADF statistics); 2. Order of Vector Autoregressions

3. Cointegration Analysis D. A Dynamic Model of Money Demand; E. The Model's Properties; IV. Conclusion; Appendices; I. Data Definitions; 6. Data Series, 1994Q1-2008Q1; II. Unrestricted Error Correction Representation for Real Broad Money; 7. Actual and Fitted Values of the Money Demand Model; III. Statistical Properties of the Dynamic Model of Money Demand; 8. Residual Analysis; 9. Recursive Least-Squares Parameter Constancy (recursive estimates); 10. Recursive Least-Squares Parameter Constancy (t-values); 11. Other Recursive Least-Squares Constancy Statistics

Sommario/riassunto

Recent changes to China's financial system, in particular ongoing interest rate liberalization, gradual movement toward a more flexible exchange rate regime, and rapid development of capital markets, have changed substantially the environment in which monetary policy operates. In light of these changes, we estimate an error correction model using a General-to-Specific methodology and confirm that a stable broad money demand function exists taking proper account of asset substitution, with an income elasticity of less than unity. Current inflation is found to have a significant negative impact on the real money demand. However, money demand does not appear very sensitive to interest rates, possibly reflecting their partial liberalization. Changes in the exchange rate also do not affect money demand significantly, but expectations of a further renminbi appreciation since 2005 appears to induce more money demand. Stock prices are statistically insignificant despite recent investors' interest in equity markets.