1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910788332303321

Autore

Yan Isabel

Titolo

Balance of Payments Anti-Crises / / Isabel Yan, Michael Kumhof

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009

ISBN

1-4623-3054-1

1-4527-3493-3

1-4518-7281-X

9786612843488

1-282-84348-6

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (23 p.)

Collana

IMF Working Papers

Altri autori (Persone)

KumhofMichael

Soggetti

Balance of payments

Foreign exchange

Banks and Banking

Foreign Exchange

Inflation

Money and Monetary Policy

Open Economy Macroeconomics

Monetary Policy

Central Banks and Their Policies

Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy

Stabilization

Treasury Policy

Price Level

Deflation

Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects

Monetary economics

Currency

Macroeconomics

Banking

Finance

Inflation targeting

Exchange rates

International reserves

Zero lower bound

Monetary policy

Prices

Central banks



Reserves accumulation

Foreign exchange reserves

Interest rates

China, People's Republic of

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

Description based upon print version of record.

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references.

Nota di contenuto

Contents; I. Introduction; II. The Model; A. Households; B. Firms; C. Government; D. Equilibrium; E. Government Revenue Shock; III. Model Solution; A. Parameter Values; B. Solution Method; IV. Anti-Crises; V. Conclusion; References; Figures; 1. China and Colombia-Reserves and Inflation; 2. Chile, Norway and Russia - Reserves and Inflation; 3. (a) Anti-Crisis - Overview; 3. (b) Anti-Crisis - Labor Market; 3. (c) Anti-Crisis - Government Budget; 3. (d) Anti-Crisis - Price Levels and Inflation Rates

Sommario/riassunto

Several emerging economies have, until recently, experienced large government surpluses and accelerating foreign exchange reserve accumulation. This has been accompanied by economic booms, exchange rate appreciations and in some cases increases in domestic inflation. We show that one way to understand these episodes is as manifestations of balance of payments anti-crises, as reflecting the perception that the government intends to discontinue its accumulation of reserves in the near future. The end-phase of such crises is characterized by nominal interest rates approaching their zero lower bound in accelerating fashion and, if the government targets CPI inflation, by fast increasing domestic inflation.