1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910463402703321

Autore

Shajari Sadegh

Titolo

Chain reaction and chaos : toward modern Persia / / Sadegh Shajari

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Lanham, Maryland : , : University Press of America, , [2015]

©2015

ISBN

0-7618-6522-5

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (319 p.)

Disciplina

327.55073

Soggetti

Electronic books.

Iran History

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

Description based upon print version of record.

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references and index.

Nota di contenuto

Contents; Foreword; Acknowledgments; Introduction; 1 Global Systemic Explosion; 2 A Tri-Polar Culture; 3 A Happy Beginning; 4 A Dramatic Climax; 5 Read Flags in America; 6 Fatal Mistakes and Failure; 7 A Tectonic Shift; 8 On the Brink of the Abyss; 9 Inflexion Point and Beyond; 10 Lost in the Labyrinth of the Nuclear World; 11 The Silk Road; 12 The Soviet Orbit; 13 The Rising Tide; 14 Technical Challenges; 15 Diplomatic Games; 16 The Gathering Storm; 17 Dark Energy and Black Propaganda; 18 Going Critical; 19 Isostatic Subsidence; 20 Future Blooms under Storm; Abbreviations; Notes; Index

Sommario/riassunto

<span><span>In this new perspective, Iran's quest for nuclear power-in the context of the global energy challenge and the Cold War-era nuclear arms race-takes on new dimension. This study goes beyond current affairs and analyzes interactions between the complex evolution of U.S. policy toward Iran and events in modern Iranian history that shape the determinants of Tehran's foreign policy.</span></span>



2.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910788237603321

Autore

Krichene Noureddine

Titolo

Crude Oil Prices : : Trends and Forecast / / Noureddine Krichene

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2008

ISBN

1-4623-9010-2

1-4519-9637-3

1-282-84085-1

1-4518-6992-4

9786612840852

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (25 pages) : illustrations

Collana

IMF Working Papers

IMF working paper ; ; WP/08/133

Disciplina

338.232820112

Soggetti

Petroleum products - Prices - Forecasting

Investments: Energy

Inflation

Macroeconomics

Energy: Demand and Supply

Prices

Price Level

Deflation

Energy: General

Commodity Markets

Investment & securities

Oil prices

Asset prices

Oil

Commodity prices

Petroleum industry and trade

United States

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

Bibliographic Level Mode of Issuance: Monograph

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references.



Sommario/riassunto

Following record low interest rates and fast depreciating U.S. dollar, crude oil prices became under rising pressure and seemed boundless. Oil price process parameters changed drastically in 2003M5-2007M10 toward consistently rising prices. Short-term forecasting would imply persistence of observed trends, as market fundamentals and underlying monetary policies were supportive of these trends. Market expectations derived from option prices anticipated further surge in oil prices and allowed significant probability for right tail events. Given explosive trends in other commodities prices, depreciating currencies, and weakening financial conditions, recent trends in oil prices might not persist further without triggering world economic recession, regressive oil supply, as oil producers became wary about inflation. Restoring stable oil markets, through restraining monetary policy, is essential for durable growth and price stability.