1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910788236803321

Autore

Zettelmeyer Jeromin

Titolo

Fiscal Positions in Latin America : : Have They Really Improved? / / Jeromin Zettelmeyer, Ivanna Hollar

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2008

ISBN

1-4623-6387-3

1-4519-8628-9

1-4518-6996-7

9786612840890

1-282-84089-4

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (32 p.)

Collana

IMF Working Papers

Altri autori (Persone)

HollarIvanna

Disciplina

336.02

Soggetti

Revenue - Latin America

Business cycles - Latin America

Fiscal policy - Latin America

Investments: Commodities

Macroeconomics

Public Finance

Fiscal Policy

Commodity Markets

National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General

Personal Income, Wealth, and Their Distributions

Investment & securities

Public finance & taxation

Fiscal stance

Commodity prices

Commodities

Expenditure

Personal income

Fiscal policy

Prices

Commercial products

Expenditures, Public

Income

Argentina



Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

Description based upon print version of record.

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references.

Nota di contenuto

Contents; I. Introduction; Tables; 1. Latin America: Fiscal Developments; II. Methodology; A. Noncommodity Structural Revenue; B. Commodity Structural Revenue; C. Structural Balances; III. Results; A. Parameter Estimates and Statistical Tests; 2. Long-Run Income Elasticity of Central Government Tax Revenues; B. Structural Noncommodity Revenues; Figures; 1. Actual and Structural Noncommodity Revenues; C. Structural Commodity Revenues; D. Structural Primary Balances; 2. Actual and Structural Commodity Revenues; 3. Actual and Estimated Structural Primary Balances; IV. Conclusion; References

Appendices1. Revenue Data and Changes in Tax Structure; 2. Output Gap Estimates; Appendix Tables; A1. LAC Countries: Filter-Based Output Gap Estimates for 2007; 3. Commodity Price Indices and Projections; A2. Commodity Export Shares; A3. Commodity Price Indices and Medium Term Projections

Sommario/riassunto

Fiscal performance in Latin America looks much improved this decade compared to the 1980s or 1990s. Is this a "structural" improvement or likely to be transitory? This paper answers this question by estimating the relationship between non-commodity revenue and the economic cycle, and evaluating commodity revenues using alternative medium term commodity price projections. The main result is that structural revenues have indeed improved as a share of GDP, and structural primary balances are currently in surplus in many Latin American countries. However, the magnitude of these improvements is uncertain, in part due to uncertainty about the commodity price outlook.