1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910788235903321

Autore

Bayoumi Tamim

Titolo

Credit Matters : : Empirical Evidence on U.S. Macro-Financial Linkages / / Tamim Bayoumi, Ola Melander

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2008

ISBN

1-4623-6891-3

1-4527-4302-9

1-4518-7027-2

1-282-84120-3

9786612841200

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (29 p.)

Collana

IMF Working Papers

IMF working paper ; ; WP/08/169

Altri autori (Persone)

MelanderOla

Disciplina

332.70973

Soggetti

Credit - United States - Econometric models

Bank assets - Econometric models - United States

Banks and Banking

Macroeconomics

Money and Monetary Policy

Industries: Financial Services

Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General

Banks

Depository Institutions

Micro Finance Institutions

Mortgages

Personal Income, Wealth, and Their Distributions

Monetary economics

Finance

Banking

Credit

Personal income

Bank credit

Loans

Income

Banks and banking

United States Economic conditions Econometric models

United States



Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

Description based upon print version of record.

Nota di contenuto

Contents; I. Introduction; II. A Framework for Analyzing Macro-Financial Linkages; Figures; 1. A Framework for Macro-Financial Linkages; III. The Effect of the Bank Capital/Asset Ratio on Lending Standards; 2. Bank Capital Adequacy and Lending Standards; IV. The Effect of Lending Standards and Balance Sheets on Credit; Tables; 1. The Bank Capital/Asset Ratio and Loan Standards; 2. Loan Standards, Balance Sheet Variables, and Credit; V. The Effect of Credit on Spending; 3. The Effect of Credit on Spending; VI. The Effect of Spending on Income; 4. The Effect of Spending on Income

VII. Feedback Loop through Balance Sheets of Banks, Firms and Households 5. Feedback Effects of GDP Growth on Bank Capital; VIII. Bottom Line: Quantitative Importance of Macro-Financial Linkages; 3. The Effects of an Adverse Bank Capital Shock; 4. The Impact of an Adverse Capital Shock on the Level of GDP and its Components; 5. The Impact of an Adverse Capital Shock on GDP Growth and the Contribution of GDP Components; 6. The Effects of an Adverse Demand Shock; 7. The Impact of an Adverse Demand Shock on the Level of GDP; IX. Conclusions

6. Loan Standards, Balance Sheet Variables, and Bank Credit Appendices; I. Credit Regressions for Bank Lending; 7. The Effect of Credit on Personal Consumption Expenditure; II. Spending Regressions for Sub-Components of Consumption; References

Sommario/riassunto

This paper develops a framework for analyzing macro-financial linkages in the United States. We estimate the effects of a negative shock to banks' capital/assetratio on lending standards, which in turn affect consumer credit, mortgages, and corporate loans, and the corresponding components of private spending (consumption, residential investment and business investment). In addition, our empirical model allows for feedback from spending and income to bank capital adequacy and credit. Hence, we trace the full credit cycle. An exogenous fall in the bank capital/asset ratio by one percentage point reduces real GDP by some 1½ percent through its effects on credit availability, while an exogenous fall in demand of 1 percent of GDP is gradually magnified to around 2 percent through financial feedback effects.