1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910788235103321

Autore

Flanagan Mark

Titolo

Resolving a Large Contingent Fiscal Liability : : Eastern European Experiences / / Mark Flanagan

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2008

ISBN

1-4623-6487-X

1-4527-2688-4

1-282-84110-6

9786612841101

1-4518-7017-5

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (42 p.)

Collana

IMF Working Papers

Soggetti

Debts, Public - Europe, Eastern

Fiscal policy - Europe, Eastern

Debts, Public - Ukraine

Fiscal policy - Ukraine

Banks and Banking

Exports and Imports

Macroeconomics

Money and Monetary Policy

Comparison of Public and Private Enterprises and Nonprofit Institutions

Privatization

Contracting Out

Monetary Systems

Standards

Regimes

Government and the Monetary System

Payment Systems

International Lending and Debt Problems

Fiscal Policy

Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects

Monetary economics

International economics

Finance

Currencies

Arrears

Fiscal sustainability

Real interest rates



Money

Debts, External

Fiscal policy

Interest rates

Ukraine

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

"June 2008."

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references.

Nota di contenuto

Contents; I. Introduction; Tables; 1. Recent European Cases of Large Off-Balance Sheet Liabilities; II. Design of a Settlement: Economic Considerations; A. Fiscal sustainability; Boxes; 1. The sustainable level of primary surplus; Figures; 1. Primary Surplus in Successful Episodes of Debt Regularization; 2. Settlement Structures for Large Contingent Fiscal Liabilities; B. Macroeconomic stability; 3. Structure of the Serbian Debt Settlement; 2. The Global Monetary and Fiscal Model; 2. Up-front Debt Shock; 3. Sensitivity Tests; 4. Debt Shock with Counter-Cyclical Fiscal Policy

5. Spread-out Debt Shock6. Debt Shock with All Offsets; 4. Debt Settlement Timing and Macroeconomic Conjuncture; III. Design of a Settlement: Technical Considerations; A. Administration; 5. Settling Large Contingent Fiscal Claims: Issues Raised; B. The staging of a settlement; 7. Timing of Debt Restitution and Macroeconomic Factors; C. The settlement technique; 3. Mutual Debt Settlements (Netting) in the CIS; D. The use of public assets in a settlement; IV. Application: Ukraine and the lost savings problem; 8. Ukraine: Distribution of Lost Savings Claims

9. Ukraine: Debt Shocks and Fiscal Sustainability10. Ukraine: Current Macroeconomic Situation; V. Conclusions; Appendix I. The GIMF Model Calibration; Appendix II. Ukraine: A Brief History of the Lost Savings; References

Sommario/riassunto

On occasion, a government may find itself confronted with a need to address a large contingent or off balance sheet fiscal liability. Implementing a settlement raises issues of fiscal sustainability and macroeconomic stability. This paper surveys the key design issues, and draws lessons from recent Eastern European experience. It then considers in more detail the particular case of Ukraine, and how it might approach its own large contingent liability-the so-called lost savings-which at end-2007 amounted to as much as 18 percent of GDP.