1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910788234303321

Autore

Ilahi Nadeem

Titolo

Do the Gulf Oil-Producing Countries Influence Regional Growth? The Impact of Financial and Remittance Flows / / Nadeem Ilahi, Riham Shendy

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2008

ISBN

1-4623-8505-2

1-4527-4706-7

1-4518-7025-6

1-282-84118-1

9786612841187

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (19 p.)

Collana

IMF Working Papers

IMF working paper ; ; WP/08/167

Altri autori (Persone)

ShendyRiham

Disciplina

338.27282

Soggetti

Petroleum industry and trade

Exports and Imports

Finance: General

Investments: General

Macroeconomics

Remittances

Energy: Demand and Supply

Prices

Macroeconomics: Consumption

Saving

Wealth

General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data)

Investment

Capital

Intangible Capital

Capacity

International economics

Finance

Oil prices

Private consumption

Emerging and frontier financial markets

Private investment

International finance

Consumption



Economics

Financial services industry

Saving and investment

United States

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa

Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

Description based upon print version of record.

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references.

Nota di contenuto

Contents; I. Introduction; II. Background; III. Hypotheses and Empirical Specification; IV. Data and Summary Statistics; Figures; 1. Output-Weighted GDP Growth Rates; Tables; 1. Summary Statistics; V. Estimation Results; 2. Ratio of GCC Current Account Surpluses to Combined Regional (non-GCC) GDP; 2. Regional Countries GDP Growth Regression; 3. Regional Countries Private Consumption Growth Regression; VI. Conclusion; 4. Regional Countries private Investment Growth Regressions; Appendix; Data Sources and Description; References

Sommario/riassunto

This paper tests the association between the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries' financial and remittance outflows and regional growth in the Middle East. The findings, based on 35-year panel data, indicate that growth rates of real GDP, private consumption and private investment in regional countries are strongly associated with remittance outflows from and the accumulation of financial surpluses in the GCC. Unlike in other developing and emerging market countries, growth in regional countries is not influenced by growth in the North, and is not export led. Linkages with the GCC could help sustain output growth in the regional countries in the face of the global economic slowdown and oil price shocks and could provide diversification gains to international capital seeking markets uncorrelated with Northern and emerging market countries.