1.

Record Nr.

UNINA9910788233903321

Autore

Vamvakidis Athanasios

Titolo

Convergence in Emerging Europe : : Sustainability and Vulnerabilities / / Athanasios Vamvakidis

Pubbl/distr/stampa

Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2008

ISBN

1-4623-4267-1

1-4527-0064-8

1-4518-7039-6

9786612841323

1-282-84132-7

Descrizione fisica

1 online resource (32 p.)

Collana

IMF Working Papers

IMF working paper ; ; WP/08/181

Disciplina

337.47

Soggetti

Balance of payments - Europe, Eastern

Balance of payments - Europe, Central

Convergence (Economics) - Europe

Exports and Imports

Macroeconomics

Current Account Adjustment

Short-term Capital Movements

Institutions and the Macroeconomy

International Lending and Debt Problems

International economics

Current account deficits

Structural reforms

External debt

Current account balance

Current account imbalances

Balance of payments

Debts, External

Europe, Eastern Economic conditions

Europe, Central Economic conditions

Bulgaria

Lingua di pubblicazione

Inglese

Formato

Materiale a stampa



Livello bibliografico

Monografia

Note generali

Description based upon print version of record.

Nota di bibliografia

Includes bibliographical references.

Nota di contenuto

Contents; I. Introduction; II. Emerging Europe's Convergence; III. Estimates from a Production Function; IV. Determinants of Economic Growth; V. Potential Growth; VI. Current Account Balances During Regional Convergence; VII. External indebtedness; VIII. Conclusions and Policy Implications; Figures; 1. Convergence in Emerging Europe and in the Rest of the World, 2003-07; 2. Emerging Europe: Value Added by Sector, Contributions to Real GDP Growth, 2002-06; 3. Emerging Europe: Domestic and External Demand, Contributions to Real GDP Growth, 2002-06; 4. Emerging Europe: Growth Accounting, 2002-06

5. Stock of Private Sector Credit and Per Capita GDP, 2002-20066. Growth and Private Sector Credit Growth, 2002-06; 7. GDP per Capita and Current Account Balances, 2007; 8. Emerging Europe: Contributions to Current Account Deficit, 2003-07; 9. Emerging Europe: FDI Coverage of Current Account Deficit, 2003-07; 10. Emerging Europe: Percentage Change in Export Market Shares in the World Economy, 2003-07; 11. External Debt/GDP, Emerging Europe, 2007; 12. Short-term Debt (Remaining Maturity)/Foreign Reserves, 2007; Tables; 1. GDP Growth and Contributions, Emerging Europe, 2002-2006

2. Determinants of Growth in Emerging Europe, 2003-20073. Potential Growth Based on a Growth Model in Emerging Europe; 4. Potential Growth in Emerging Europe, Alternative Estimates; 5. Sustainability of Current Account Deficits Based on a Model of Regional Convergence, 2003-2007; 6. Responses of External Debt-to-GDP Ratio to Adverse Shocks, 2007-11; References

Sommario/riassunto

The emerging European economies have been converging rapidly towards the more advanced European economies in recent years. However, large external imbalances in parts of the region have raised questions about sustainability and concerns about vulnerabilities. Empirical evidence in this paper suggest that the convergence trend of emerging Europe is based on strong fundamentals and is expected to continue, but at a slower pace. Moreover, the convergence path may be volatile as countries with large external imbalances adjust, with risks of a hard landing in some cases.