| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1. |
Record Nr. |
UNINA990009620400403321 |
|
|
Autore |
Zinn, Howard |
|
|
Titolo |
Storia del popolo americano : dal 1942 a oggi / Howard Zinn ; traduzione di Erica Mannucci |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pubbl/distr/stampa |
|
|
Milano : Il saggiatore, 2010 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
ISBN |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Descrizione fisica |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Collana |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Disciplina |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Locazione |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Collocazione |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lingua di pubblicazione |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Formato |
Materiale a stampa |
|
|
|
|
|
Livello bibliografico |
Monografia |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
Record Nr. |
UNINA9910788228603321 |
|
|
Titolo |
Incorporating Market Information into the Construction of the Fan Chart |
|
|
|
|
|
Pubbl/distr/stampa |
|
|
Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
ISBN |
|
1-4623-6888-3 |
1-4527-4804-7 |
1-282-84389-3 |
9786612843891 |
1-4518-7325-5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Descrizione fisica |
|
1 online resource (23 p.) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Collana |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Disciplina |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Soggetti |
|
Economic forecasting - Econometric models |
Time-series analysis |
Inflation |
Investments: Options |
Macroeconomics |
Energy: Demand and Supply |
Prices |
Price Level |
Deflation |
Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications |
Pension Funds |
Non-bank Financial Institutions |
Financial Instruments |
Institutional Investors |
Economic Forecasting |
Finance |
Oil prices |
Asset prices |
GDP forecasting |
Options |
National income |
Derivative securities |
United States |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lingua di pubblicazione |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Formato |
Materiale a stampa |
|
|
|
|
|
Livello bibliografico |
Monografia |
|
|
|
|
|
Note generali |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Nota di contenuto |
|
Contents; I. Introduction; II. Outline of Theory; A. Characterizing the Distribution of Global Growth; Box; 1. The Two-Piece Normal Distribution; B. Constructing Confidence Intervals; III. Using Survey- and Market-Based Information; Figures; 1. Constructing Confidence Intervals; A. Survey-based Measures; B. Market-based Measures; IV. An Example: Forecasting Global Growth; A. Choice of Risk Factors; Tables; 1. Estimated Elasticities and Skewness Coefficients; B. Estimating the Weighting Parameters .; C. Constructing the Fan Chart; D. Interpreting the Results |
2. Dispersion of Forecasts for GDP and Selected Risk FactorsV. Conclusions; 3. Fan Chart for Global Growth and Skewness of Risk Factors; 4. Fan Chart for Global Growth Based on Direct Estimates of Variance and Skew; References |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sommario/riassunto |
|
This paper develops a simple procedure for incorporating market-based information into the construction of fan charts. Using the International Monetary Fund (IMF)'s global growth forecast as a working example, the paper goes through the theoretical and practical considerations of this new approach. The resulting spreadsheet, which implements the approach, is available upon request from the authors. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |